The 3-2 Denver Broncos and winless New York Jets hit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London to start the action on Sunday, October 12.
It’s a statistical mismatch, and my top NFL picks and Browns vs. Jets predictions expect the New York offense to struggle against the dominant Denver defense in Week 6.
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Broncos vs Jets prediction
Broncos vs Jets Best bet: Broncos -7 (-118)
The Denver Broncos are the superior team on both sides of the ball, so with this spread on the key number of 7, I’m happy to back the Blue and Orange across the pond against the winless New York Jets.
In particular, I’m anticipating Jets quarterback Justin Fields to have a world of trouble against the Denver defense. The Broncos generate the highest pressure percentage in the NFL and have already racked up a league-high 21 sacks.
New York ranks 23rd in both PFF pass block grade and pass block win rate, while Denver ranks ninth in PFF pass rush grade and second in pass rush win rate.
This is a huge mismatch, and especially considering Fields has a basement-dwelling 32.0 completion percentage for just 2.0 yards per attempt under pressure this season.
Add Denver allowing the second-fewest points per game (16.8), and I’m expecting Gang Green to have difficulty moving the ball and keeping pace with a well-rounded Broncos offense averaging 5.5 yards per play and a respectable 23.4 points per game.
The Jets rank 29th in defensive DVOA and 26th in PFF defense grade while allowing the fourth-highest EPA per play and second-most points per game, after all.
Broncos vs Jets same-game parlay
Fields has rushed for 48 or more yards in each of his first three games of the season before being held to just 26 on seven carries last week against the Dallas Cowboys.
He’s rushed 31 times for an impressive 204 yards and an average of 6.6 per tote, and as discussed, I expect he’ll be scrambling against the relentless Denver pass rush Sunday.
While the Jets haven’t given up huge yardage numbers to opposing tight ends, they’ve surrendered a league-high five touchdowns to the position, and an opposing tight end has caught 27 or more yards in four of five games.
Evan Engram has also turned his 13 targets into eight receptions for 62 yards the past two weeks while being targeted on 27.1% of his routes.
Broncos vs Jets SGP
- Denver - 7
- Justin Fields Over 36.5 rushing yards
- Evan Engram Over 22.5 receiving yards
Our big-ticket SGP: Jets Heavily Rely on Wilson
Jets No. 1 wide receiver Garrett Wilson has been force fed the football and caught 33 of 48 targets for 382 yards, and I expect more of the same Sunday.
Broncos vs Jets SGP
- Denver - 7
- Justin Fields Over 36.5 rushing yards
- Evan Engram Over 22.5 receiving yards
- Garrett Wilson Over 55.5 receiving yards
Broncos vs Jets odds
- Spread: Broncos -7 (-118) | Jets +7 (-104)
- Moneyline: Broncos -420 | Jets +330
- Over/Under: Over 43.5 (-112) | Under 43.5 (-108)
More NFL picks and odds from Covers
Broncos vs Jets trend to know
The Denver Broncos have won 13 of their last 21 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Broncos vs. Jets.
How to watch Broncos vs Jets
| Location | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| Date | Sunday, October 12, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 9:30 a.m. ET |
| TV | NFL Network |
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