Denver @ New York Picks & Props

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Broncos. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are predicted by the projections to call 66.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average). With a top-tier 18.8% Red Zone Target Rate (86th percentile) this year, Evan Engram has been as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in football. When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Jets being a big -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the league. This year, the strong Broncos run defense has surrendered a puny 0.40 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the best rate in the league. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Denver's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Broncos. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are predicted by the projections to call 66.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average). When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year. This year, the poor New York Jets defense has been torched for a whopping 2.20 passing TDs per game to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in football.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Jets being a big -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the league. The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack near the end zone in this week's game (30.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (21.1% in games he has played). Garrett Wilson has compiled a staggering 89.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Jets being a big -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the league. This year, the strong Broncos run defense has surrendered a puny 0.40 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the best rate in the league. As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Denver's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Broncos. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are predicted by the projections to call 66.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average). Courtland Sutton has been in the 88th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 61.4 mark this year. When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Jets being a big -7.5-point underdog in this week's game. Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call 66.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week. Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the league. Breece Hall has totaled a colossal 12.0 air yards per game this year: 99th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage). Breece Hall's 84.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a noteable progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 76.6% mark.

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Broncos. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are predicted by the projections to call 66.8 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week. The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average). The projections expect J.K. Dobbins to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest (5.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played). When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Broncos ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.