After putting a 58-36 beating on Toronto in Week 5, the Calgary Stampeders make the long trip east to Percival Molson Stadium to face the 3.5-point-favored Montreal Alouettes on Saturday evening.
The 2026 CFL season has been one for the Overs, and my Stampeders vs. Alouettes predictions anticipate another high-scoring affair.
Find out more in my CFL picks for July 11.
Who will win Stampeders vs Alouettes: Montreal -3.5 (-110)
Although the Montreal Alouettes are just 2-2 ATS to start the season, the results don't necessarily reflect how those games have gone.
The Alouettes were -2.5 road favorites heading into Edmonton, where they faced the Elks in a monsoon and eventually lost in overtime after a questionable turnover call.
A week later, they were in complete control of the game vs. Ottawa until a last-minute kickoff return touchdown led to one of the most unexpected backdoor covers I have seen in a long time.
Montreal could just as easily have been 4-0 ATS to start this season, and I'm confident the Alouettes will come away with the win vs. the Calgary Stampeders on Saturday night.
Playable to -120.
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Stampeders vs Alouettes total prediction: Over 62.5 (-120)
The Montreal receiving duo of Tyson Philpot and Tyler Snead projects for the highest target share of any teammates in the league at 56%, and they should feast on a Calgary defence that has allowed an unusually high 9.1 yards per target to opposing receivers after allowing just 8.5 YPT over the past three seasons.
On the other side of the ball, Montreal is surrendering the second-most yards per carry (5.4) to opposing offences this year, and Calgary is built to take advantage of that with running back Dedrick Mills producing 5.7 yards per carry.
Everything here leans to an offensive shootout that should clear the 62.5-point total, and I’d even be interested in sprinkling alt-lines up to Over 66.5.
COVERS INTEL: Calgary and Montreal are combining for full game totals of 74.25 points per game in 2026, and Sunday's O/U sits nearly 12 points below their scoring average. Over 62.5 offers great value.Stampeders vs Alouettes same-game parlay
I’m confident in the Over at 62.5 as an easy addition to this SGP.
If you swap from the spread to the Montreal moneyline at -218, the payout drops to just +164 from +238, so I’m willing to lay the extra point and take the value.
Stampeders vs Alouettes SGP
- Alouettes -3.5
- Over 62.5
Stampeders vs Alouettes weather
The forecast in Montreal is for 25C, clear skies, and low winds of 5-15 kph. It should be a perfect night for the passing attacks to run up the score.
Stampeders vs Alouettes odds
- Spread: Stampeders +3.5 (-110) | Alouettes -3.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Stampeders +180 | Alouettes -218
- Over/Under: Over 62.5 (-120) | Under 62.5 (+100)
Stampeders vs Alouettes key injuries
Stampeders: Jaydon Grant DB (Out), Ashton Miller-Melancon DB (Questionable), Derrick Moncrief LB (Questionable).
Alouettes: Kabion Ento DB (Out), Cole Spieker WR (Out), Stevie Scott III RB (Out), Shomari Lawrence RB (Out).
Stampeders vs Alouettes trend
Calgary is 9-1 to the Over in its past 10 contests, while Montreal is 4-0 to the Over to start the season.
How to watch Stampeders vs Alouettes and game info
| Location | Percival Molson Stadium, Montreal, QC |
| Date | Saturday, July 11, 2026 |
| Kick-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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