Yankees vs Nationals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 11, 2026 , 10:43 AM ET • 4 min read

Cam Schlittler cools off red-hot Nats bats in Washington.

MLB

Match starts: 4 hrs
NYY
66 %
WAS
34 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
NY Yankees -1.5 (-120) NY Yankees -1.5 (-120)
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Cam Schlittler New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Cam Schlittler on the mound during a recent start.

The New York Yankees are sizable -190 favorites in Washington this afternoon.

With Cam Schlittler taking the bump, my Yankees vs. Nationals predictions and MLB picks believe New York is worth backing to win going away.

Who will win Yankees vs Nationals today: Yankees -1.5 (-120)

Cam Schlittler has been borderline untouchable away from Yankee Stadium. He's allowed just eight runs through 11 road starts, and last conceded more than once on April 12 against the Rays.

He struck out 31% of opposing batters along the way while allowing hard contact just 27.7% of the time. 

The Washington Nationals are in elite form offensively, but Schlittler is one of the few capable of slowing them down. Miles Mikolas ranks in the ninth percentile in pitcher run value and should bring the most out of these New York Yankees bats.

Play this to -125.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Cam Schlittler has been a top-tier starter, ranking in the 97th percentile in pitcher run value.

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Yankees vs Nationals Over/Under pick: Under 9 (-115)

Schlittler is a high K%, low BB% pitcher who also limits power extremely well. He's allowed just 0.80 homers per nine innings, which is even more impressive when factoring in that a healthy chunk of his games are played at Yankee Stadium.

His ability to keep the ball in the park makes it very difficult for opposing offenses because he’s not someone who gets hit around inning after inning.

While the Yankees could get to Mikolas, the continued absences of Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton take real juice out of the lineup.

Bet to -120.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 56-45, +1.25 units
  • Over/Under bets: 54-43-4, +5.69 units

Yankees vs Nationals weather

Hot temperatures in the mid-80s are expected, although with the wind blowing in. Small boost to the bats.

Yankees vs Nationals odds

  • Moneyline: Yankees -190 | Nationals +160
  • Run line: Yankees -1.5 (-120) | Nationals +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (-105) | Under 9 (-115)

Yankees vs Nationals trend

The Yankees have cashed the Under in 29 of their last 50 road games for +7.05 units and a 13% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Nationals.

How to watch Yankees vs Nationals and game info

Location Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
Date Saturday, July 11, 2026
First pitch 4:05 p.m. ET
TV Nationals.TV, YES
Yankees starting pitcher Cam Schlittler
(9-5, 2.01 ERA)
Nationals starting pitcher Miles Mikolas
(3-7, 5.78 ERA)

Yankees vs Nationals latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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