The Buffalo Bills suffered their first loss of the season last week as the Patriots came away with a 23-20 victory at Highmark Stadium. The Atlanta Falcons made it back to .500 with a 34-27 win over theCommanders in Week 4 before taking their bye in Week 5.
Josh Allen & Co. will look to get back in the win column and stay atop the AFC, but the home team will have something to say about it as they look to move to 3-2.
Here are my best Bills vs. Falcons anytime touchdown picks for Week 6’s early MNF contest.
Bills anytime touchdown pick
Dalton Kincaid (+250 at bet365)
Dalton Kincaid is off to the best start of his career, racking up 20 catches for 287 yards and three scores through the first four games of the season. The third-year man scored just two touchdowns in each of his first two seasons, and Josh Allen has looked his way five times in the red zone thus far.
Kincaid sits second among tight ends in receiving yards and tied for third in receiving scores. He’s dealing with an oblique injury and is listed as questionable for MNF. If he’s unable to go, I’ll be targeting Dawson Knox, who would get an immediate bump in playing time should Kincaid be sidelined.
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Falcons anytime touchdown pick
Tyler Allgeier (+115 at bet365)
Bijan Robinson is the clear lead back for the Atlanta Falcons, but Tyler Allgeier has continued to carve out a meaningful role on offense this season. The latter has 43 carries for 155 yards and two scores, and he found the end zone last time out.
He has 10 carries inside the 20-yard line, 10 inside the 10-yard line, and three inside the five-yard line. Opportunities will be there for the backup RB, as he spells Robinson throughout the contest.
The Buffalo Bills have allowed the fourth-most rushing touchdowns to opponents this season, giving up seven through five games. Bijan’s odds of scoring are set at -170, which is why I'm leaning toward Allgeier and his plus-money price.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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