Touchdown dances aren’t just reserved for the guys getting across the goal line.
Touchdown props allow NFL bettors to celebrate alongside their favorite players, which makes anytime touchdown and first touchdown odds among the most popular NFL player props bets every week.
If you think you know which players will strike paydirt, you can bet on them to score a TD at any point in the game. And if you’re really locked in on who will get past the goal line first, you can pump up your payouts by betting the “first touchdown scorer” markets when you make your NFL picks.
Anytime touchdown predictions
Dallas Goedert anytime touchdown
Dallas Goedert has always been a reliable target in the Philadelphia Eagles' offense, but he’s never been used quite so heavily as he is now.
The 30-year-old tight end is on pace to set career highs in receptions, targets, and most importantly for us, touchdowns — having scored four times already this season.
Goedert has now scored in each of his last three games and will be the go-to option in the short passing game again this week against the Giants. At +225, there’s far too much value here to pass up.
-Ed Scimia
Calvin Ridley anytime touchdown
It took some time, but Calvin Ridley and Cam Ward have begun to jell. Ward found Ridley for a big 47-yard completion en route to an invigorating comeback win over the Cardinals last week. It’s one of seven 20+ yard grabs by Ridley this year, yet the Titans’ top WR has yet to visit the end zone in 2025.
Ridley is tied for sixth in terms of “big” catches this year, with four of the five receivers ahead of him having already caught a TD this year, and three of them going for multiple scores.
The Raiders have allowed six TDs to WRs already this year (T-23rd) while ranking third-worst in yards allowed to the position in 2025.
-Robert Criscola
Tetairoa McMillan anytime touchdown
Tetairoa McMillan is the only receiver to be targeted 40+ times this season without a touchdown to his name.
Carolina’s first-round pick remains the focal point of the Panthers’ aerial attack, and this matchup is a prime opportunity to torch a Dallas defense that is allowing a league-worst 284.6 passing yards per game.
-Trevor Knapp
Tetairoa McMillan anytime touchdown
Only Jaxon Smith-Njigba has more 20+ yard receptions than Tetairoa McMillan, yet he has two TD catches and McMillan has none. Fortunately for “T-Mac” and the Panthers, a matchup with the Cowboys’ shoddy defense should allow McMillan to earn his first TD grab in the NFL.
Dallas has allowed the most yards to WRs in 2025 (944) as well as the most TD receptions (10). Opponents are completing an embarrassingly-high 72.4% of their throws vs. the Cowboys.
With McMillan getting targeted 43 times through five games, the ninth-highest rate in football, it seems like it’s just a mater of time before one of those targets results in six points on the scoreboard.
-Robert Criscola
First touchdown prediction
Check back soon for more touchdown predictions.
Multi-touchdown prediction
Saquon Barkley 2+ touchdowns
As noted in my NFL moneyline picks, Saquon Barkley is set to take on a Giants defense that ranks dead last in run defense by DVOA. Last year, Barkley rushed 17 times for 176 yards and a score in the Meadowlands.
Returning to his old stomping grounds in Week 6, Barkley will be the centerpiece of the Eagles’ offensive game plan all game. The reigning Offensive Player of the Year scored two touchdowns in five games last season, and this matchup is the perfect opportunity to reach that mark again.
-Trevor Knapp
More Covers NFL Week 6 touchdown scorer predictions
What is a first touchdown scorer bet?
A first touchdown scorer bet involves wagering on which player will score the first touchdown in a specific NFL game. This type of bet can be placed on any player who is eligible to score, and typically focuses on running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks.
If the player you choose scores the first touchdown, you win the bet; if not, you lose. The odds for these bets can vary based on the player’s likelihood to score first, which is influenced by factors like their position, recent performance, and the team's offensive strategy and efficiency.
What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?
An anytime touchdown bet involves wagering on whether a specific player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, not just the first TD.
For example, if you bet on Ravens running back Derrick Henry to score an anytime touchdown and he finds the end zone at any time during the game, you win the bet. This type of bet is popular because it allows for more scoring opportunities, and you can often choose players based on advantageous matchups. The odds can vary based on the player’s scoring potential and the strength of the team’s offensive scheme.
How are touchdown prop odds determined in NFL betting?
Here are some of the key factors oddsmakers consider when setting touchdown prop odds:
- Player performance: Historical data on a player's scoring ability, including past touchdowns, carries, and target share, is crucial.
- Matchup analysis: The opposing defense's strengths and weaknesses are evaluated, including how well they defend against specific positions.
- Injury reports: Injuries to key players can impact a player's likelihood of scoring. Check out our NFL Injuries page to stay up to date before making your wager.
- Game script: Oddsmakers consider potential game scenarios, such as whether a team is expected to be ahead or behind and how that may impact their strategy.
- Public sentiment: Betting patterns and public perception can also sway odds. If a player is very popular or a big favorite, sportsbooks may adjust their odds to mitigate risk. You can check out our Covers NFL picks consensus to see how the public is leaning.
- Statistical models: Sportsbook use advanced analytics and data-driven models to help refine their lines.
NFL TD Prop Betting FAQ
Yes, both running touchdowns and receiving touchdowns count for both the first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown bets. So, if a running back scores a touchdown by running the ball or a wide receiver scores by catching a pass, it will count for your bet in either category. As long as the player you bet on is the one who scores, you win!
Yes, an interception return for a touchdown counts as a touchdown in anytime touchdown betting props. If you bet on a defensive player to score an anytime touchdown and they return an interception for a touchdown, your bet would win. This also applies to fumble recoveries returned for touchdowns. However, it's important to check the specific rules of the sportsbook, as they can vary.
On an average Sunday of NFL football, six to seven touchdowns are typically scored per game. Since there are usually 12 to 16 games played, that can add up to 70 to 100 total touchdowns across the league.
Yes, an NFL center can score a touchdown, though it's quite rare. Centers primarily focus on snapping the ball and blocking, but they can score through a fumble recovery, a passing play if they are deemed eligible before the play, and a fake play.
Yes, you can parlay touchdown props in NFL betting. A parlay involves combining multiple bets into one wager, and if all selections win, the payout can be much higher than placing each bet individually. For instance, you can parlay bets on multiple players to score touchdowns in the same game, but keep in mind that all bets in the parlay must win for you to receive a payout.
