Quarterback props take center stage in this Week 1 matchup between UCLA and California, with opportunities aplenty on both sides ahead of the 10:30 p.m. ET kickoff on ESPN.
Our UCLA vs. California quarterback props and college football picks pair Nico Iamaleava's touchdown upside with Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele's projected passing volume on Saturday, Sept. 5.
Best UCLA vs California QB prop picks for Week 1
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
| 41% | |
| 51% |
Percentages courtesy of ProphetX, one of the best prediction market apps.
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UCLA QB prop: Nico Iamaleava Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
UCLA quarterback Nico Iamaleava is a former five-star recruit coming out of high school in the 2023 class, and he has as much talent as any pivot in college football. This should be a breakout year for Iamaleava after struggling with injuries last season.
Furthermore, Iamaleava can extend plays with his legs and throw while on the run, and I love this plus-money payout given how bad California's defense projects to be this season.
California QB prop: Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Over 263.5 passing yards
Since I'm taking UCLA to win, I'm expecting California to have to play catch-up, which means Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele will have to drop back more. If it's a lopsided game, Sagapolutele can throw for more than 264 yards in garbage time.
Sagapolutele tallied 267+ passing yards in seven of his 13 games last season, and the Golden Bears had the seventh-highest passing rate in the country, according to TeamRankings.com.
UCLA vs California QB combo
ProphetX combo probability: 28%
Nico Iamaleava Over 1.5 passing touchdowns
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Over 263.5 passing yards
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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