Washington State vs Washington Prop Picks for College Football Week 1

Geoff Clark - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Geoff Clark • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 5, 2026 , 03:27 PM ET • 4 min read

The 118th Apple Cup brings Washington State and Washington back together for another rivalry showdown. Headlined by Caden Pinnick, our Washington State vs. Washington prop picks target passing, rushing, and receiving opportunities in Week 1.

Quarterback Caden Pinnick (12) is set to make his Washington State debut.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Quarterback Caden Pinnick (12) is set to make his Washington State debut.

Even though they are no longer in the same conference, Washington State and Washington are running it back for the 118th Apple Cup in Week 1.

To celebrate, I'm placing a few Washington State vs. Washington prop picks for Sunday, Sept. 6.

Make sure to also check out Rob Paul's full Washington State vs. Washington predictions and college football picks ahead of kickoff in Seattle.

Best Washington State vs Washington props

For help understanding probabilities, please see our odds calculator.

Pick ProphetX
Probability
Washington State logo Caden Pinnick Over 171.5 passing yards 50%
Washington logo Quaid Carr Over 64.5 rushing yards  50%
Washington logo Christian Moss Under 48.5 receiving yards 50%

Percentages courtesy of ProphetX, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Prop pick #1: Caden Pinnick Over 171.5 passing yards

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First-year Washington State quarterback Caden Pinnick transferred from UC Davis, which is an FCS school in the Big Sky Conference.

Pinnick led the Big Sky in passing efficiency and threw the second-most touchdowns (32) while averaging 267.2 passing yards per game last season.

Since the Cougars are +23 road underdogs, they'll most likely be in a “trailing game state,” increasing their need to throw.

That said, there are two outs for Pinnick’s Over cashing: 1. He has a good game, or 2. Wazzu is getting blown out, and Pinnick goes Over his number in garbage time vs. Washington’s second-stringers.

Prop pick #2: Quaid Carr Over 64.5 rushing yards 

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According to college football analyst Phil Steele, Washington’s offensive line will be a candidate for the Joe Moore Award for the country’s best blocking unit and has four returning starters.

Last season, the Huskies ranked 13th nationally in rushing success rate, per GameOnPaper.com. Washington QB Desmond Williams Jr. is a dual-threat pivot who ran for the second-most yards on the team last year.

Huskies running back Quaid Carr is a first-year starter who might get additional carries in a lopsided game. Carr could have a high usage rate, helping prevent Williams from taking unnecessary hits if Washington has the game under control. 

Prop pick #3: Christian Moss Under 48.5 receiving yards

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This aligns with my aforementioned game script of Washington pulling away early against its in-state rival. Hence, there's a good chance the Huskies won't drop back to pass much in the second half and will rest their starters. 

Furthermore, Washington wideout Christian Moss transferred from Kennesaw State this offseason, and he might need time to gel with Williams. Wazzu's defense also ranked 19th in the country in yards per dropback allowed last season. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

A gambler first and a writer second, Geoff's favorite sports to bet on, listed in order, include the NFL, NBA, PGA Tour, college basketball, college football, MLB and horse racing. As a Saratoga, N.Y., transplant living in Long Beach, Calif., Geoff is most active on the prediction markets. The native New Yorker stays loyal to his childhood teams, the Yankees, Giants, Knicks and Rangers. Clark added St. John's University basketball to his favorite teams after graduating from school in 2008 with a bachelor's degree in sports management. Geoff has been writing and podcasting in sports betting media since 2019 with stops at USA TODAY and Fox News, and TV appearances on VSIN. 

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