It's another full slate of games across the Majors, and I've pinpointed three quality picks in my MLB player props analysis.
I'm eyeing Martin Perez to carve up a divisional rival, while Jacob deGrom should find his best once again in Arlington, and Alex Bregman also gets a solid matchup as he looks to keep swinging a hot bat.
Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, Sep. 5.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Martin Perez |
Under 2.5 earned runs | -122 |
 Jacob deGrom |
Under 1.5 earned runs | +111 |
 Alex Bregman |
Over 1.5 total bases | +131 |
Martin Perez Under 2.5 earned runs (-122)
Atlanta Braves lefty Martin Perez has been holding it down lately. While his underlying metrics suggest otherwise, the veteran owns a 1.86 ERA across his last two starts.
In fact, he's also allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his last six appearances. One difficult outing during that span inflated his xERA, but Perez has looked dominant in recent starts.
Perez has allowed minimal barrels, and he already tossed six scoreless innings against the Philadelphia Phillies earlier this season.
Play up to -140.
- Time: 6:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: BravesVision, NBC Sports Philadelphia
Jacob deGrom Under 1.5 earned runs (+111)
Jacob deGrom has had issues at times this season, but when he's at home, the righty has been utterly dominant. The Texas Rangers starter owns a 2.13 FIP at Globe Life Field this season.
Two of deGrom's last three home outings were scoreless gems, and he also allowed just one earned run in the other. The former Cy Young winner will now face a Tampa Bay Rays lineup that is in very poor offensive form, compiling an 85 wRC+ across the last week.
Expect another gem from the 38-year-old.
Play down to +100.
- Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Rays.TV, RSN
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 total bases (+147)
The Chicago Cubs' offense is hot in general, and Alex Bregman is playing a massive part. The third baseman has a ridiculous .692 ISO and .423 average over his last six contests.
Of his 11 hits during that span, eight have been for extra bases. He's smacked three doubles and five home runs. Bregman has cashed the Over in total bases in four of his previous five games.
Bregman faces Ryan Gusto tonight, who has a vulnerable 4.54 xERA over the last month. The Miami Marlins pen is also shaky at the moment.
The slugger will stay hot.
Play down to +110.
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Marlins.TV, Marquee Sports Network
- Prop picks: 12-9, +2.80
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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