Follow the Money: The Most Popular College Football Public Betting Picks for Week 4

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 26, 2026 , 08:39 AM ET • 4 min read

Ole Miss vs. Florida is attracting plenty of attention from Kalshi investors. See how big a favorite the Gators are, and much more.

Florida Gators Jadan Baugh NCAAF
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Florida Gators running back Jadan Baugh (13) rushes with the ball.

Kalshi traders have been making their Top 25 predictions all week long, and now it's time to review the college football public betting report!

Florida is one of the more popular college football picks for Week 4. Read on to see what other teams Kalshi customers are targeting on the moneyline this Saturday, Sept. 26.

College football public betting picks for Week 4

Matchup Pick
Texas Texas
vs
Tennessee Tennessee
Texas
66%
Illinois Illinois
vs
Ohio State Ohio State
Ohio State
97%
Mississippi Ole Miss
vs
Florida Florida
Florida
62%
Oregon Oregon
vs
USC USC
Oregon
61%
Texas A&M Texas A&M
vs
LSU LSU
LSU
76%

Probabilities courtesy of Kalshi, one of our best prediction market apps. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, please see our odds calculator.

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NCAAF public betting picks and analysis for Week 4

Texas vs Tennessee: Texas

Kalshi probability: 66% | Volume: $1,196,868

With ESPN's College Gameday and President Donald Trump in attendance, the Neyland Stadium environment could be arguably the most hectic of the season. Despite that, Kalshi traders are putting their faith in Texas this Saturday.

The Longhorns are garnering 66% of the money vs. Tennessee. 

Check out our full Texas vs. Tennessee predictions.

Illinois vs Ohio State: Ohio State

Kalshi probability: 97% | Volume: $441,574

This is one of the most lopsided college football games involving a Top 25 team this week in terms of public action.

There's 97 cents of every dollar invested in Ohio State at Kalshi. Both Illinois and Ohio State are 2-1, but the Illini's loss (Duke) is not quite as strong as the Buckeyes' (Texas).

Check out our full Illinois vs. Ohio State predictions.

Ole Miss vs Florida: Florida

Kalshi probability: 62% | Volume: $3,652,672

Ole Miss is a lightning rod this year, as they're once again involved in one of the highest-volume games of the slate just one week after beating LSU in the Lane Kiffin "revenge" game.

Despite the Rebels being ranked higher, Florida is a 62% favorite at Kalshi with over $2 million in the pool.

Check out our full Ole Miss vs. Florida predictions.

Oregon vs USC: Oregon

Kalshi probability: 61% | Volume: $437,219

The Oregon vs. USC rivalry will be renewed on Saturday night, with the Ducks favored to top the Trojans at 61%.

Oregon has won six of the last seven head-to-head meetings between these former Pac-12 powers.

Check out our full Oregon vs. USC predictions.

Texas A&M vs LSU: LSU

Kalshi probability: 76% | Volume: $221,078

LSU and Kiffin are given a 76% probability to get back on the beam vs. Texas A&M.

The Aggies are clinging to a spot in the Top 25 after losing their first conference game of the year vs. Kentucky.

Check out our full Texas A&M vs. LSU predictions.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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