Duke vs Notre Dame Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Ponnaiya's prediction: This is a textbook letdown-and-lookahead spot for Duke.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 24, 2026 • 11:29 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 6 hrs
DUKE
40 %
ND
60 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Notre Dame +17.5 (-110) Notre Dame +17.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Notre Dame Braeden Shrewsberry
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Notre Dame guard Braeden Shrewsberry dribbles the ball.

There’s a new No. 1 team in the country as the Duke Blue Devils travel to South Bend tonight to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.

Notre Dame sits at just 3-11 in ACC play, but my Duke vs. Notre Dame predictions are backing the Irish to keep this one closer than expected.

Here are my best free college basketball picks for this conference clash on Tuesday, February 24.

Duke vs Notre Dame prediction

Duke vs Notre Dame best bet: Notre Dame +17.5 (-110)

The Duke Blue Devils are coming off a statement win over then-No. 1 Michigan and have a showdown with No. 11 Virginia looming on Saturday. That makes this road trip to face the struggling Notre Dame Fighting Irish feel like a classic letdown spot.

Notre Dame has quietly covered spreads against quality competition, cashing tickets in recent games versus Virginia, Louisville, and SMU — all Top-30 teams in the NET rankings.

The Irish also play at a snail’s pace, limiting possessions and making it tougher for Duke to create separation. Add in their size and a defensive rebounding rate that ranks 23rd nationally, and Notre Dame has the profile to limit second-chance opportunities and keep this one within reach.

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Duke vs Notre Dame same-game parlay

The Irish lost leading scorer Markus Burton to a season-ending injury in December, and while Jalen Haralson has stepped up offensively, he’s expected to miss his third straight game with an ankle sprain.

Without their top two scoring options against Duke’s elite defense, Notre Dame will struggle to generate consistent offense, setting the stage for a slower, lower-scoring contest.

Wooden Award favorite Cameron Boozer averages 10.0 rebounds per game, but he may see reduced minutes if Duke builds a comfortable lead early. Pair that with the projected sluggish tempo, and the overall rebounding opportunities could be limited.

Duke vs Notre Dame SGP

  • Notre Dame +17.5
  • Under 140
  • Cameron Boozer Under 9.5 rebounds

Our beyond the arc SGP: Coach's Son

Someone will have to shoulder the scoring load for Notre Dame, and that role will likely fall to Braeden Shrewsberry, son of head coach Micah Shrewsberry.

Shrewsberry has scored 16 or more points in six of his last eight games and grabbed at least three rebounds in 10 of his last 15 contests.

Duke vs Notre Dame SGP

  • Notre Dame +17.5
  • Under 140
  • Braeden Shrewsberry Over 11.5 points
  • Braeden Shrewsberry Over 3.5 rebounds

Duke vs Notre Dame odds

  • Spread: Duke -17.5 (-110) | Notre Dame +17.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Duke -2000 | Notre Dame +1000
  • Over/Under: Over 140 (-110) | Under 140 (-110)

Duke vs Notre Dame betting trend to know

The Blue Devils have gone 19-8 to the Under this season. Find more college basketball betting trends for Duke vs. Notre Dame.

How to watch Duke vs Notre Dame

Location Purcell Pavilion, South Bend, IN
Date Tuesday, February 24, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Duke vs Notre Dame key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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