The No. 12 seed Arizona State Sun Devils face the No. 5 seed Iowa State Cyclones in the second round of the Big 12 Tournament this afternoon.
The Cyclones have been clobbering mediocre opponents all season and my Arizona State vs. Iowa State predictions expect another beatdown today.
Here are my best free college basketball picks for this conference tournament clash on Wednesday, March 10.
Arizona State vs Iowa State prediction
Arizona State vs Iowa State best bet
Arizona State vs Iowa State best bet: Iowa State -11.5 (-110)
The Iowa State Cyclones are at No. 7 in the KenPom ratings and are significantly better on both ends of the floor than the Arizona State Sun Devils. The Cyclones beat ASU 86-65 in their regular season finale and have been winning by margin all season.
They won 10 conference games by double-digits and had blowout non-conference victories against Purdue, Syracuse, Creighton, and Mississippi State. And the T-Mobile Center should feel like home with their fans taking over this venue in recent years.
With the Sun Devils exhausted after holding off Baylor yesterday, ISU will run them off the floor.
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Arizona State vs Iowa State same-game parlay
The Sun Devils have gone Under their team total in 10 of their last 14 games. They were 14th in conference play in eFG% (49.6%) and have issues taking care of the ball.
They'll struggle against an ISU defense that slows foes to a crawl while ranking seventh in the country in adjusted defense and fourth in opponent turnover rate.
Milan Momcilovic averages an incredible 3.7 threes per game and has knocked down 4+ triples in three of his last four contests. He'll torch an ASU squad that allows conference foes to shoot 37.1% from deep.
Arizona State vs Iowa State SGP
- Iowa State -11.5
- Arizona State Team Total Under 69.5
- Milan Momcilovic Over 3.5 threes
Our beyond the arc SGP: Cyclones Storm
Do-everything forward Joshua Jefferson was just named to the All-Big 12 first team and leads ISU with 7.4 rebounds per game. He should control the glass against a Sun Devils squad that was second-last in the conference in rebounding margin.
Arizona State vs Iowa State SGP
- Iowa State -11.5
- Arizona State Team Total Under 69.5
- Milan Momcilovic Over 3.5 threes
- Joshua Jefferson Over 7.5 rebounds
Arizona State vs Iowa State odds
- Spread: Arizona State +11.5 | Iowa State -11.5
- Moneyline: Arizona State +525 | Iowa State -750
- Over/Under: Over 148.5 | Under 148.5
Arizona State vs Iowa State betting trend to know
The Sun Devils are 9-3 to the Under in their last 12 games while the Cyclones have cashed the Under in 15 of their previous 23 contests. Find more college basketball betting trends for Arizona State vs. Iowa State.
How to watch Arizona State vs Iowa State
| Location | T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO |
| Date | Wednesday, March 11, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 12:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Arizona State vs Iowa State key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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