2025 NBA Finals MVP Odds: SGA Pulls Away After Heroic Game 4 Effort

It's a one-horse race for NBA Finals MVP honors right now following a 35-point performance from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in Game 4. Can Pascal Siakam or Tyrese Haliburton catch the Thunder PG?

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Jun 14, 2025 • 08:58 ET • 3 min read
NBA Finals MVP odds SGA
Photo By - Imagn Images. OKC Thunder point guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in NBA action.

Oklahoma City's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the clear front-runner to win the NBA Finals MVP Award. SGA currently owns -550 NBA MVP odds after dropping a series-high 35 points in Game 4, which enabled the Thunder to tie the series 2-2.

Indiana's Tyrese Haliburton floated from +275 to +850 following the loss, tied with teammate Pascal Siakam for second-choice status.

The latest NBA Championship odds show the Thunder as -550 to win the title while boasting home-court advantage in what is essentially now a best-of-three series.

Here are the latest NBA odds to win Finals MVP.

🏆 2025 NBA Finals MVP odds

These are the latest NBA odds for the NBA Finals MVP race. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the clear-cut betting favorite, followed by Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam.

Player bet365
Thunder Shai Gilgeous-Alexander -550
Pacers Tyrese Haliburton +850
Pacers Pascal Siakam +850
Thunder Jalen Williams +3000
Thunder Alex Caruso +15000
Thunder Chet Holmgren +20000

Odds as of 6-14.

👑 NBA Finals MVP favorites

The Oklahoma City Thunder are once again big favorites in the NBA Finals odds. That's why their biggest star, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, has once again become a runaway leader in this market.

But Tyrese Haliburton remains a realistic long shot to win this award as the Pacers try to make their impossible Finals dream a reality.

Pascal Siakam has crept into this conversation by dropping 30+ combined points, rebounds, and assists in three of the first four games of this series.

📈 NBA Finals MVP opening odds

Here are what NBA Finals MVP opening odds looked like, just prior to the start of the postseason.

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+190)
  • Jayson Tatum (+250)
  • Donovan Mitchell (+650)
  • Luka Doncic (+2200)
  • Jaylen Brown (+2400)
  • Steph Curry (+2700)
  • Kristaps Porzingis (+3100)
  • Nikola Jokic (+3300)
  • Darius Garland (+3600)
  • Evan Mobley (+3600)
  • Kawhi Leonard (+4600)
  • Jalen Brunson (+4900)
  • LeBron James (+4900)
  • Anthony Edwards (+5000)
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (+6500)
  • Jalen Williams (+6500)
  • Chet Holmgren (+10000)
  • Jimmy Butler (+11000)
  • Derrick White (+12000)
  • James Harden (+12000)
  • Alperen Sengun (+13000)
  • Tyrese Haliburton (+13000)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (+17000)

⚙️ Covers NBA betting tools


NBA Finals MVP betting splits

Line movement (Game 3 to Game 4)
•    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander -550 to -235
•    Tyrese Haliburton +700 to +275
•    Pascal Siakam +1900 to +900
 
Highest ticket percentage
•    Tyrese Haliburton 19.1%
•    Pascal Siakam 14.2%
•    Anthony Edwards 6.3%
 
Highest handle percentage
•    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 19.5%
•    Tyrese Haliburton 15.1%
•    Pascal Siakam 13.5%

Data courtesy of BetMGM.

NBA Finals MVP trends

Here are some trends you'll want to keep in mind when placing a bet on NBA Finals MVP:

  • Only one player (Jerry West, 1969) has ever won Finals MVP on the losing team.
  • Nikola Jokic's 2023 Finals MVP win was the first by a center since Shaquille O'Neal in 2002.
  • Forwards have won 10 of the past 12 NBA Finals MVPs.

Popular NBA futures odds


🏀 Previous NBA Finals MVP award winners

The adage of needing versatile forwards in today's NBA rings especially true when looking at the recent Finals MVP winners. Despite Giannis being one of the most position-amorphous players in NBA history, eight of the past 10 Finals MVPs have been, at least by most definitions, forwards.

Year Player Team
2024 Jaylen Brown Celtics Boston Celtics
2023 Nikola Jokic Browns Denver Nuggets
2022 Stephen Curry Browns Golden State Warriors
2021 Giannis Antetokounmpo Browns Milwaukee Bucks
2020 LeBron James Browns Los Angeles Lakers
2019 Kawhi Leonard Browns Toronto Raptors
2018 Kevin Durant Browns Golden State Warriors
2017 Kevin Durant Browns Golden State Warriors
2016 LeBron James Browns Cleveland Cavaliers
2015 Andre Iguodala Browns Golden State Warriors

✅ Best NBA Finals MVP betting sites

Scouting basketball betting websites should be a breeze, but new bettors often feel overwhelmed by the sheer number of options available. Here are the must-have basketball betting site features you should target before placing your wagers.

Best odds: Not all sportsbooks are created equally, especially when it comes to odds. Finding the best price for your basketball bets is key to a successful betting strategy. 

Live betting: Watching betting lines move in real-time and comparing statistics allows you to jump into the action at just the right moment.

Fast payouts: Accessing your hard-earned funds shouldn't feel like breaking a full-court press. It's important to choose a sportsbook that offers fast and reliable money withdrawals post-game.

Safe money transactions: The days of placing bets with bookies in shadowy back rooms are long over. Major online sportsbooks boast state-of-the-art security measures like SSL data encryption, and each holds a legal operating license from registered authorities.

NBA Finals MVP Odds FAQs

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop — something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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