Kings vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Hanshew's prediction: Expect a convincing Spurs victory over the Kings.

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst
Feb 21, 2026 • 11:47 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 7 hrs
SAC
48 %
SA
52 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
San Antonio -18.5 (-110) San Antonio -18.5 (-110)
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Dylan Harper of the San Antonio Spurs NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Dylan Harper of the San Antonio Spurs.

Polar opposites take the court Saturday as the 12-win Sacramento Kings travel to Texas to face the No. 2 seed San Antonio Spurs.

The end of the season can’t come fast enough for the visitors, and my Kings vs. Spurs predictions expect a blowout of epic proportions in favor of San Antonio.

Here are my best free NBA picks for this one-sided matchup on Saturday, February 21.

Kings vs Spurs prediction

Kings vs Spurs best bet: Spurs -18.5 (-110)

The 18.5-point spread is one of the highest I’ve seen for any game all season, but the lopsided lean is warranted.

The Sacramento Kings have struggled to play competitively with a healthy roster, but the losses of Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, and De’Andre Hunter will make it even tougher for the Kings to compete.

The San Antonio Spurs have won seven straight and covered in six of them, while Sacramento has lost three straight by an average margin of 30.3 points while scoring no more than 94 points. The Spurs are 15-10-1 ATS at home, and the Kings are 9-19 on the road.

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Kings vs Spurs same-game parlay

San Antonio’s defense is one of the best in the Association, and Sacramento’s offense is bereft of quality scoring options due to recent trades and season-ending injuries. Sacramento ranks 29th in scoring offense (109.9), while San Antonio ranks fifth in scoring defense (111.8).

Maxime Raynaud can hold his own, but the rookie will have very little support while trying to nab rebounds from Victor Wembanyama. Domantas Sabonis and Dylan Cardwell are out, and Wemby should have his way with the shorthanded Kings’ frontcourt.

Kings vs Spurs SGP

  • Spurs -18.5
  • Under 228.5
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: Harper Heats Up

Dylan Harper has scored 12+ in six of his last eight while averaging 14.6 points.

San Antonio should cruise to victory in this one, allowing Harper to see some extra run off the bench and easily clear this scoring line.

Kings vs Spurs SGP

  • Spurs -18.5
  • Under 228.5
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 rebounds
  • Dylan Harper Over 11.5 points

Kings vs Spurs odds

  • Spread: Kings +18.5 (-110) | Spurs -18.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Kings +1000 | Spurs -2000
  • Over/Under: Over 228.5 (-115) | Under 228.5 (-105)

Kings vs Spurs betting trend to know

The Sacramento Kings have hit the team total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Spurs.

How to watch Kings vs Spurs

Location Moody Center, Austin, TX
Date Saturday, February 21, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV NBCSCA, KENS

Kings vs Spurs latest injuries

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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