Kings vs Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's prediction: Houston's offense continues to have a problem.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Feb 25, 2026 • 14:21 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 4 hrs
SAC
52 %
HOU
48 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u221.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Kevin Durant Houston Rockets NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Houston Rockets forward Kevin Durant (7).

While the Sacramento Kings snapped their 16-game losing streak, do not expect them to start a winning streak against the Houston Rockets tonight.

My Kings vs. Rockets predictions and NBA picks have little faith in either team on Wednesday, February 25.

Kings vs Rockets prediction

Kings vs Rockets best bet: Under 221.5 (-110)

The Houston Rockets will long lament Fred VanVleet’s preseason injury.

Without a quality point guard, adding Kevin Durant has been a relative disappointment for the Rockets. Since New Year’s, their offensive rating has sat at No. 24 in the NBA, scoring just 111.3 points per 100 possessions.

Fortunately, Houston’s defense ranks No. 6 in that same stretch, which should obviously stifle the Sacramento Kings’ heavily depleted rotation. There are several reasons the Kings’ offensive rating is No. 27 since January 1, and most of those reasons are injuries.

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Kings vs Rockets same-game parlay

Kevin Durant has cleared this prop in two of his last three, three of his last five, and four of his last seven.

Those are all modest enough rates, but given how depleted Sacramento’s rotation is, logic can safely expect Durant to score efficiently, shooting over just about everyone.

Kings vs Rockets SGP

  • Under 221.5
  • Rockets moneyline
  • Kevin Durant Over 25.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Houston's Problems

A low-scoring affair benefits a hefty underdog against the spread.

Kings vs Rockets SGP

  • Under 221.5
  • Rockets moneyline
  • Kings +14
  • Kevin Durant Over 25.5 points

Kings vs Rockets odds

  • Spread: Kings +14 (-110) | Rockets -14 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Kings +625 | Rockets -950
  • Over/Under: Over 221.5 (-110) | Under 221.5 (-110)

Kings vs Rockets betting trend to know

Four of Houston’s last five games have gone Under their totals, falling short of bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 7.9 points per game. Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Rockets.

How to watch Kings vs Rockets

Location Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Date Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV NBC Sports California, SCHN

Kings vs Rockets latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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