The Golden State Warriors is playing the tail end of a back-to-back, but the Warriors should be well-rested.
Against Oklahoma State on Friday night, Golden State opted for a mini tanking, resting Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton, Jimmy Butler and Jonathan Kuminga.
Curry, Green and Melton should all be back in the lineup against overmatched the Utah Jazz, and my Jazz vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks look for Golden State to cover as double-digit favorites.
Jazz vs Warriors prediction
Jazz vs Warriors best bet: Golden State Warriors -12.5 (-115)
The Golden State Warriors had won back-to-back games before getting blown out against OKC. That game started a stretch of 10 home games in 11 outings, and several top Warriors got a night off to enjoy their return home and recover from the travel west.
Draymond Green and De'Anthony Melton's benchings were for pure rest reasons, but Stephen Curry has battled a sore ankle. Jimmy Butler came down with an illness Friday morning. It's not clear whether he'll be ready to go on Saturday night.
Golden State shouldn't need much help to handle the Utah Jazz. The Warriors have been bullies against bad teams. They have an 8-2 record against teams that are .400 or worse. That includes wins and covers against Charlotte, Brooklyn and Dallas in their last five games.
While Utah has lost two straight and six of the last eight, the Jazz have managed to avoid the blowout. Utah is 5-3 ATS over that span and 3-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog in the last eight games, along with a pair of covers as nine-point dogs.
Utah has also struggled with injuries. Lauri Markkanen missed the last game with a knee injury. Keyonte George is battling illness, and Ace Bailey has a hip problem. Bailey is the only one officially ruled out for the Golden State game. The other two are day-to-day.
Still, as Golden State gets its stars back, Utah will be facing the likelihood of playing short-handed.
Jazz vs Warriors same-game parlay
Utah has the fourth-fastest tempo in the league, and despite that, the Jazz have still lived over. They've gone Over 21 of 33 games this season, including seven of the last 10. Golden State has been over in 21 of 35 this season, as well as seven of its last 10 and four of the last five.
Brice Sensabaugh has seen his minutes increase with Utah's injuries. He's started three straight after coming off the bench most of the season and has played 30 minutes or more in four straight after not hitting that mark all year. Still, he's only averaging 14 points per game in his increased time and had hit just 1 of his last 11 three-point attempts.
Jazz vs Warriors SGP
- Golden State Warriors -12.5
- Over 242.5
- Brice Sensabaugh Under 13.5 Points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Curry no Favor
This is a value proposition for the final leg of the parlay. There's no reason Curry's rebounding should have such favorable odds for the under. He's had three or fewer boards in the last five games he's played and has had four or more just 12 times in 25 games this year.
Jazz vs Warriors SGP
- Golden State Warriors -12.5
- Over 242.5
- Brice Sensabaugh Under 13.5 Point
- Stephen Curry Under 3.5 rebounds
Jazz vs Warriors odds
- Spread: Jazz +12.5 (-110) | Warriors -12.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Jazz +425 | Warriors -600
- Over/Under: Over 238.5 (-110) | Under 238.5 (-110)
Jazz vs Warriors betting trend to know
The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 78 games. Find more NBA betting trends for Jazz vs. Warriors.
How to watch Jazz vs Warriors
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Saturday, January 3, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | KJZZ, NBC Sports Bay Area |
Jazz vs Warriors latest injuries
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