The Dallas Mavericks will look to sweep a 2-game home set Saturday when they meet the Utah Jazz again.
Dallas dropped a season high in a 144-122 victory Thursday and enters this as 4.5-point favorites in the NBA odds.
My Jazz vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks have the scoring binge settling down, with these teams settling in Under a monster line on Saturday, January 17.
Jazz vs Mavericks prediction
Jazz vs Mavericks best bet: Under 241.5 (-110)
The Dallas Mavericks are not a high-powered offensive machine, averaging just 113.6 points per game (23rd), but the Utah Jazz certainly made them look good.
The Jazz are the NBA’s worst defensive team, allowing an incredible 127.4 points per game, which enables teams to shoot a league-high 49.3% against them, including 37.6% from 3-point range, the second-worst mark in the league.
A lot of things just went right to have Dallas ring up 144 points, including hitting 19-for-46 from 3-point range, a 41.3% clip, from a team that ranks dead last in 3-point shooting at 33.8%, while also converting 17 Utah turnovers into 30 points.
This is a team that still won’t likely have Cooper Flagg (ankle) back in the lineup, as he’s listed as doubtful, along with big man Daniel Gafford (ankle). They’ll be joining Anthony Davis (hand) on the sideline.
The good news is that both Max Christie (illness) and P.J. Washington (ankle) are probable after missing the last meeting.
Utah will still be without its best player, as Lauri Markkanen (illness) has already been ruled out. That didn’t slow down the Jazz scoring machine, currently sixth in the NBA, from putting up points.
Over has cashed in two of the last three, but Dallas and Utah have gone Under the total in seven of the previous nine.
The Mavericks have also gone Under in six of their last eight. While there will still be a bunch of points, I think the track meet of buckets slows down here.
Jazz vs Mavericks same-game parlay
I think it goes from heat check to reality check for Brice Sensabaugh. A guy who’s averaging 11.8 points just had 27 against Dallas, and he’s scored 26 or more in three of four games, including 43 against Chicago. Consider that in his previous 30 games, he has cracked 19 points just three times.
Klay Thompson is on a mini-heater, hitting at least six triples in every other game over his last six. But he’s been lights out vs Utah, drilling at least three money balls in five straight games against the Jazz.
Jazz vs Mavericks SGP
- Under 241.5 points
- Sensabaugh Under 18.5 points
- Thompson Over 2.5 threes
Our "from downtown" SGP: Thompson stays hot
Isaiah Collier dropped 12 dimes against the Mavs last game, and has had at least eight assists in three of his last four, and in both games against Dallas this season.
Dwight Powell has grabbed eight or more boards just once in his last five games. Even on a team without many of its big men, Dallas’ team collective rebounding effort should keep Powell’s numbers down.
Jazz vs Mavericks SGP
- Under 241.5 points
- Sensabaugh Under 18.5 points
- Thompson Over 2.5 threes
- Collier Over 7.5 assists
- Powell Under 7.5 rebounds
Jazz vs Mavericks odds
- Spread: Jazz +3.5 | Mavericks -3.5
- Moneyline: Jazz +140 | Mavericks -165
- Over/Under: Over 241.5 | Under 241.5
Jazz vs Mavericks betting trend to know
The Mavericks have won each of their last eight home games against the Jazz. Find more NBA betting trends for Jazz vs. Mavericks.
How to watch Jazz vs Mavericks
| Location | American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX |
| Date | Saturday, January 17, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 5:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | KJZZ, KFAA |
Jazz vs Mavericks latest injuries
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