Grizzlies vs Kings Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Cam Spencer will find the gaps in the Kings' defense tonight and get more than enough minutes to eclipse his modest assist total, per our NBA betting picks.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Feb 4, 2026 • 09:38 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 11 hrs
MEM
41 %
SAC
59 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Cam Spencer o5.5  Total Assists (+105) Cam Spencer o5.5 Total Assists (+105)
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Memphis Grizzlies NBA Cam Spencer
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Memphis Grizzlies guard Cam Spencer (24) brings the ball down the court.

The short-handed Memphis Grizzlies visit Golden 1 Center for a Western Conference matchup with the Sacramento Kings tonight.

Cam Spencer has provided a spark off the Memphis bench, and my Grizzlies vs. Kings predictions expect plenty of assists from the former UConn Huskies star. 

Read on for my NBA picks for Wednesday, February 4. 

Grizzlies vs Kings prediction

Grizzlies vs Kings best bet: Cam Spencer Over 5.5 assists (+120)

Cam Spencer is handling primary facilitator duties for the Memphis Grizzlies and doesn’t need a ceiling game to reach six assists. 

He’s averaging six helpers over his last five games, and after yesterday’s major trade, Memphis is thin on bodies for tonight’s matchup with the Sacramento Kings

That points to heavier minutes for the UConn product. 

Sacramento’s defense has allowed 119 points per game during its nine-game losing streak, creating terrific assist-friendly conditions for Spencer. 

Additionally, with Grizzlies leading scorer Santi Aldama expected to suit up, getting plus money on Spencer’s assist prop feels mispriced.

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Grizzlies vs Kings same-game parlay

DeMar DeRozan has scored at least 20 points in three of his last five games. He remains one of the league’s best mid-range scorers and should find his spots comfortably without having to deal with Jackson’s length. 

Ty Jerome has returned to the Grizzlies lineup with a hefty 36% usage rate. The scoring sample is still small, but the role is real.

Against a leaky Kings defense, asking Jerome to reach 15 points is not a stretch given the expected minutes and shot volume.

Grizzlies vs Kings SGP

  • Cam Spencer Over 5.5 assists
  • DeMar DeRozan Over 19.5 points
  • Ty Jerome Over 14.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Crown the Kings

We’ll back the Kings to win. They’ve lost nine straight, but the Grizzlies are 3-7 in their last 10 games with Jackson on the floor and arrive depleted. 

With fresher legs and more continuity, Sacramento is the steadier side tonight.

Grizzlies vs Kings SGP

  • Cam Spencer Over 5.5 assists
  • DeMar DeRozan Over 19.5 points
  • Ty Jerome Over 14.5 points
  • Kings moneyline

Grizzlies vs Kings odds

  • Spread: Grizzlies +2 (-110) Kings -2 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Grizzlies +114 | Kings -134
  • Over/Under: Over 231.5 (-110) | Under 231.5 (-110)

Grizzlies vs Kings betting trend to know

The Kings have hit the moneyline in six of their last 13 games at home (+11.85 Units / 81% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Kings.

How to watch Grizzlies vs Kings

Location Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Date Wednesday, February 4, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN Southeast Memphis, NBC Sports California

Grizzlies vs Kings latest injuries

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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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