It's a quiet four-game slate across the Association tonight, but my NBA against the spread picks still find value in every matchup, starting with the Pistons laying 10.5 points at a Wizards team in the midst of a five-game skid.
I'm also taking the points with the Raptors in Philadelphia. Find the rest in my NBA picks for Thursday, Nov. 12.
NBA against the spread picks: Nov. 12
For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
48% |
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53% |
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51% |
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50% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Expert NBA ATS picks: Nov. 12
Pistons vs Wizards: Pistons -10.5
The Detroit Pistons have the second-best defensive rating in the NBA, and they beat the Washington Wizards by 11 points on Monday. The Wizards are in the midst of a five-game losing skid and have lost by an average of 17 points during that span. Their 23rd-ranked offense will continue to struggle.
Raptors vs 76ers: Raptors +10.5
I'm liking the Toronto Raptors against the spread tonight in the City of Brotherly Love. Even without Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard on Wednesday, they lost by just five points to the surging Celtics, and the Raps have a stronger net rating than the Philadelphia 76ers. LeBron James and Joel Embiid are both questionable, strengthening Toronto's case for a closer game than double digits.
Mavericks vs Timberwolves: Timberwolves -5.5
The Minnesota Timberwolves are 10-1 ATS this season, and even without Anthony Edwards, they're still playing tremendous basketball. Minnesota has one of the best defenses in the league, and the Wolves have won four straight ahead of this matchup, covering the spread in each game. The Dallas Mavericks have held their own so far, but the Wolves are rolling and are the better team on both ends of the floor.
Hornets vs Suns: Suns -6.5
Neither team is lighting it up, but the Charlotte Hornets are a dumpster fire offensively, averaging a league-worst 98.8 ppg. The Phoenix Suns, meanwhile, are averaging 112.8 points per game and have shot the ball well, ranking eighth in field goal percentage. They've also won three of four, covering in two of those contests.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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