The Minnesota Twins can win a series on the road against the New York Yankees for the first time since 2014 with a win this afternoon. Minnesota blew out New York yesterday, sending the Yankees deeper into a spiral.
The Twins have an All-Star on the mound and yet are still the underdogs. My Twins vs.Yankees predictions and MLB picks look for a Minnesota win.
Who will win Twins vs Yankees today: Twins moneyline (+119)
The Minnesota Twins scored 11 on Saturday, two days after plating eight in Houston. Minnesota has won two of three and four of six, while the Yankees have lost eight of nine.
The New York Yankees have the better overall record, but they're just 13-16 since Aaron Judge went down and had four or fewer hits five times this week. The Yankees are also struggling on the other end, giving up 27 unearned runs in the last 14 games.
I’d take the Twins at anything above +100. They’re starting newly named All-Star Joe Ryan, who's in the 95th percentile in pitching run value.
COVERS INTEL: In addition to struggling against left-handed pitchers, the Twins are unfamiliar with Ryan Weathers. Only four players on the Twins roster have ever faced him, and they’ve combined for just 11 plate appearances and one RBI.
Twins vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-107)
The Yankees scored five runs in Friday’s win. That’s the only time in the last 13 games they’ve reached that mark, despite playing Red Sox, Tigers, Reds, and Twins, all sub-.500 teams, including two last-place squads. Cody Bellinger, Ben Rice, and Paul Goldschmidt are all hitting below .150 over the last two weeks.
Ryan is in the 85th percentile in strikeout rate, and only four A.L. teams have whiffed more than the Yankees.
New York starter Ryan Weathers has struggled lately, but he’s a southpaw. Minnesota hits 36 points lower with 101 points less OPS against left-handers and has an OPS+ 11% below league average.
- ML/RL bets: 24-32, -5.15 units
- Over/Under bets: 31-29, +1.3 units
Twins vs Yankees weather
Twins vs Yankees odds
- Moneyline: Twins +117 | Yankees -122
- Run line: Twins +1.5 (-178) | Yankees -1.5 (+170)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+100) | Under 8.5 (-104)
Twins vs Yankees trend
The Yankees have cashed the Under in 10 of their last 16 games for +3.45 units and a 20% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Yankees.
How to watch Twins vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Sunday, July 5, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
| Twins starting pitcher | Joe Ryan (5-5, 3.61 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Ryan Weathers (3-6, 4.08 ERA) |
Twins vs Yankees latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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