Twins vs Astros Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 30, 2026 , 09:18 AM ET • 4 min read

Our MLB expert expects Joe Ryan to deal against the Astros.

MLB

Match starts: 7 hrs
MIN
75 %
HOU
25 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Minnesota -112 Minnesota -112
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Joe Ryan (41) delivers a pitch against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the first inning at Target Field.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Joe Ryan (41) delivers a pitch against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the first inning at Target Field.

The Minnesota Twins are in a great position to take down the Houston Astros tonight with Joe Ryan on the hill. 

Behind the righty's recent dominance, my Twins vs Astros predictions target a win for the visitors. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Tuesday, June 30. 

Who will win Twins vs Astros today: Twins (-112)

The Minnesota Twins hand Joe Ryan the baseball this evening. He's in great form, posting a 2.19 FIP over his last two appearances while allowing just 0.82 HR/9. Ryan has also compiled a respectable 3.82 FIP over the last month. 

As for Houston Astros starter Mike Burrows, he has an alarming 6.65 FIP across his last five outings while allowing a 42.7% hard hit rate during that span.

Burrows comes up against a Twins offense swinging it well right now. They have a .262 average as a team across the last seven days and 106 wRC+. 

Minnesota will add to Burrows' struggles, and Ryan will contain Houston. 

I'll play this pick to -130. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Astros have a 32.8% hard hit rate across their last seven games, compared to a 37.4% mark overall this season. They're not consistently squaring up the baseball. 

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Twins vs Astros Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (+101)

While I do expect Ryan to bring his best tonight, the Twins' bullpen is a slight concern when he exits.

They own a 6.01 xERA across the last week while allowing 2.91 HR/9. Houston's offense has a .185 ISO over its last seven contests, and has the power to capitalize if Minnesota's relievers continue making mistakes.

Houston's bullpen has been much steadier with a 3.94 xERA over the last week, but I expect Minnesota's hot offense to do most of its damage against Burrows before the relievers enter. That should be enough to help push this game Over the total.

A 5-4, 6-4 scoreline is possible. 

I'll play this pick to -120. 

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 32-28, +1.62 units
  • Over/Under bets: 33-26, +2.39 units

Twins vs Astros weather

Twins vs Astros odds

  • Moneyline: Twins -108 | Astros +104
  • Run line: Twins -1.5 (+156) | Astros +1.5 (-163)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+104) | Under 8.5 (-108)

Twins vs Astros trend

The Twins have hit the game total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Astros.

How to watch Twins vs Astros and game info

Location Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Date Tuesday, June 30, 2026
First pitch 8:10 p.m. ET
TV Twins.TV, SCHN
Twins starting pitcher Joe Ryan
(5-4, 3.18 ERA)
Astros starting pitcher Mike Burrows
(3-8, 5.48 ERA)

Twins vs Astros latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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