The Boston Red Sox are still pushing for a playoff spot as we begin the month of August. They begin a big three-game set against the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on Monday night.
Rafael Devers has become the face of the Red Sox in recent years and he’s showing why this season. He’s a big reason why Boston is just 2.5 games back of Kansas City for a wild card spot.
Can Devers and the Red Sox keep pushing tonight? Read on for my Red Sox vs. Royals predictions and free MLB picks for August 5.
Red Sox vs Royals prediction
My best bet
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 hits/runs/RBIs (-150 via BetMGM)
My analysis
Boston Red Sox third baseman Rafael Devers is in the midst of one of the best seasons of his career and he’s not slowing down anytime soon.
He’s batting .305 with 25 home runs, 70 RBI, and 71 runs in 98 games. That’s a 162-game pace of 41 home runs and 116 RBI with 121 runs scored.
Kansas City Royals starting pitcher Brady Singer is having a strong season for the Royals but the Red Sox (and Devers) have already roughed him up once. Boston chased Singer after just 2.2 innings on July 14th with eight hits and four runs, including a two-run home run by Devers in the first inning. Devers doubled again in the third inning before Singer left the game.
Devers is the power behind the Red Sox offense and he’s showing that as of late. He’s gone Over 1.5 hits/runs/RBI in 11 straight games and 13 of his last 17 overall.
The impressive thing is that Devers has done that in different ways. He’s had multiple hits in seven of those 11 games and has scored a run in nine of his last 11 contests.
We’re paying some juice here at -150, which implies a 60% probability. Devers has hit over that mark for the entire season (61%) and even better recently.
Red Sox vs Royals same-game parlay (SGP)
Rafael Devers 2+ total bases
Rafael Devers 1+ runs scored
Under 10
I’m going full-on with a Rafael Devers same-game parlay for tonight. He’s been on fire recently and has already roughed up Brady Singer once this year.
I’m closing out the parlay with a bit of a contrarian Under 10 play. The Under is 62-48 in Royals games and all three meetings last month had nine or fewer runs.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Red Sox vs Royals odds
Red Sox vs Royals live odds
Red Sox vs Royals opening odds
- Run line: Boston +1.5 (-185) | Kansas City -1.5 (+150)
- Moneyline: Boston +127 | Kansas City -138
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 | Under 9.5
Red Sox vs Royals spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Boston Red Sox odds opened a bit lower at +108 but have gone up to around +120 with most of the bets coming in on the home team.
- In turn, the Kansas City Royals are up to -130 favorites after opening around -125.
- The total has been bet up to a high 10 with the majority of the tickets and handle on the over.
Red Sox vs Royals trend
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Royals.
Red Sox vs Royals game info
| Location: | Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| Date: | Monday, 8-5-2024 |
| First pitch: | 8:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NESN, BSKC |
| Red Sox starting pitcher: | James Paxton (8-3, 4.52 ERA) |
| Royals starting pitcher: | Brady Singer (8-6, 2.88 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Royals latest injuries
Red Sox vs Royals weather
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