Boston @ Kansas City Picks & Props

In today's game, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.3% rate (90th percentile). In the past week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.3 mph to 87.7 mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.4°, Bobby Witt Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.1°) in the last two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.'s true offensive skill to be a .371, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .038 disparity between that figure and his actual .409 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°.

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°.

Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 94.5-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 92.3-mph in the past two weeks. Despite posting a .341 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Salvador Perez has experienced some positive variance given the .021 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

In today's game, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.1% rate (96th percentile). Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.7-mph EV last year has fallen off to 89.5-mph. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 89.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 85.5-mph in the last two weeks. Maikel Garcia's launch angle in recent games (1.7° over the past week) is considerably lower than his 7.5° seasonal angle. Maikel Garcia has compiled a .268 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 11th percentile.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, David Hamilton will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Jarren Duran has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and will be challenged by the league's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of every team on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarren Duran in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days. Jarren Duran has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph dropping to 82.7-mph over the last week.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split.

Hitting from the same side that James Paxton throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's deepest RF fences today. Vinnie Pasquantino has notched a .260 BABIP this year, placing in the 18th percentile.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°.

The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Dairon Blanco will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest LF fences today. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of every team on the slate today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Rafael Devers in today's matchup. Rafael Devers has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .406 rate is inflated compared to his .362 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Freddy Fermin will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup.

The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Paul DeJong will have the handedness advantage over James Paxton today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Hunter Renfroe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.