Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Ethan Diamandas - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ethan Diamandas • Betting Analyst 6+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 22, 2026 , 08:57 AM ET • 4 min read

George Springer has been quietly heating up of late, and the Blue Jays DH is our primary target vs. Griffin Jax and the Rays tonight.

MLB

Match starts: 8 hrs
TB
62 %
TOR
38 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
George Springer o1.5  Total Bases (+130) George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
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George Springer Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays designated hitter George Springer (4) hits a single against the Tampa Bay Rays

George Springer owns Griffin Jax, and that history makes his total bases my top play.

The Toronto Blue Jays are -115 favorites and will try to climb back into their series with the Tampa Bay Rays, sending Braydon Fisher to the mound opposite Jax. Toronto’s offense has been thin, but George Springer has quietly heated up, and his history against Jax headlines my card tonight.

Read on for my Rays vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for this Wednesday, July 22 matchup.

Rays vs Blue Jays predictions

Rays vs Blue Jays best bet: George Springer Over 1.5 total bases (+130)

MLB player props are limited in this Toronto Blue Jays offense, but I like George Springer against Tampa Bay Rays starter Griffin Jax

Springer has been quietly sharp lately, picking up at least one hit in five of his last six games, including an extra-base knock in Tuesday’s loss.

He also owns Jax, going 3-for-7 against the right-hander with two home runs and three RBI. That’s a matchup edge worth backing at plus money.

And while Jax has been decent this season, his 5.31 expected ERA and .274 expected batting average rank in the 13th and 14th percentiles, respectively, giving credence to the idea that he's been at least somewhat lucky to this point, which only further plays to Springer's advantage.

I’d play this bet until +120.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Despite his overall poor numbers, Springer owns an .816 OPS with 10 hits in his last nine games.

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Rays vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

For the same-game parlay, I’m betting on a night with some offense. 

I’ll start with Over 8.5 total runs, banking on a hot Rays lineup and a thin Toronto pitching staff rolling out a bullpen day. 

I’ll double down on Springer Over 1.5 total bases from my best bet, then add the Blue Jays moneyline, where the models give the home side a slight edge in a near-pick’em.

Rays vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Over 8.5
  • George Springer Over 1.5 total bases
  • Blue Jays moneyline

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Rays vs Blue Jays home run pick: Daulton Varsho (+575)

For a little variety, Daulton Varsho makes for a solid quarter-unit play. He hasn’t homered since June 23, but he’s been ramping up, with a hit in five of his last six games, including one of Toronto’s only two RBI on Tuesday.

Varsho is also oddly well-suited for Jax’s arsenal of mostly junk. Jax leans on his changeup 23% of the time, and Varsho slugs .421 against offspeed pitches.

I’d bet this at +525 or longer.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 8-7, +0.43 units
  • SGPs: 2-14, -1.81 units
  • HR picks: 3-13, -0.25 units

Rays vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Tampa Bay -105 | Toronto -115
  • Run line: Tampa Bay -1.5 (+160) | Toronto +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-110) | Under 8 (-110)

Rays vs Blue Jays trend

The Rays rank sixth in MLB in wRC+ over the last 30 days and launched five home runs through two games in this series, a hot-hitting backdrop for the over. Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Rays vs Blue Jays and game info

Location Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date Wednesday, 7-22-2026
First pitch 7:07 p.m. ET
TV Rays.TV, SN
Rays starting pitcher Griffin Jax
(5-7, 4.08 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher Braydon Fisher
(3-3, 3.65 ERA)

Rays vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Rays vs Blue Jays weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

Ethan Diamandas is a Toronto-based sports writer and betting analyst with six years in the sports and gaming industry. A Carleton University journalism grad, he pairs a traditional reporting background with an analytical read on MLB betting. He covered the Toronto Blue Jays as both a beat reporter and a feature writer, which gives him a close feel for roster construction, pitching matchups, bullpen usage, and the day-to-day factors that move baseball odds.

His bylines have run in Sports Illustrated, MLB.com, and Yahoo Sports. He also covers boxing and UFC, but baseball is the focus, especially player props, first-five markets, totals, and game-by-game matchup analysis.

On the book side, he leans on bet365 for its deep player-prop menu and FanDuel for consistently competitive odds, with DraftKings reserved for the occasional ambitious parlay. His approach is research-first and patient. He shops lines, waits for real value, and won't force action just because there's a game on the board.

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