We’ve got a somewhat short slate on deck for Saturday night in the major leagues, but I’m seeing a few dream matchups for some hot offenses heading into the evening.
I’ll take a look at a pitcher prop which is too hard to pass up before selecting a couple of bats which should do some real damage.
Here are my favorite MLB player props to wager on for Saturday, May 24.
Best MLB player props today
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Peterson o2.5 walks (+140) -
Harper 2+ TB (-110) -
O'Hoppe 2+ TB (+130)
MLB props for May 24
David Peterson Over 2.5 walks (+140 at DraftKings)
MLB picks just don’t get any sweeter than this. We’ve got a pitcher with some of the worst control in baseball heading up against arguably the league’s most patient team, and oddsmakers are offering up three walks at plus money.
David Peterson has walked three or more batters in his last three outings, and it’s hardly anything new for the lefty. He’s never run a walk rate lower than 9% in his career, and while he had found some success for a few starts in April, those games came against some pretty impatient teams.
Now, he faces the Dodgers, who have walked in over 10% of plate appearances in the last two weeks and drew seven on Friday night — including four against starter Griffin Canning in just 2 2/3 innings.
Peterson is missing the zone with consistency this May, issuing a walk to 12.7% of batters, and I like that trend to continue in a terrible matchup for the lefty.
Bryce Harper 2+ total bases (-110 at DraftKings)
Jeffrey Springs will have the task of cooling a hot Philadelphia Phillies team hitting .275 over the last two weeks, and he’ll also have his hands full with one Bryce Harper.
Bryce Harper is having a dream season at 32, bringing his Expected Batting Average back up to .288 with a .514 Expected Slugging that tops his 2024 mark by 40 points. He’s also continuing to terrorize southpaws, hitting .299 in the split, and he matches up quite well against Springs.
Springs has had issues limiting damage this year, with his xBA checking in at .251 and his xSLG at .417 — two marks firmly worse than the league average.
He’s pitched primarily to fly balls, which isn’t exactly recommended inside a park where the ball will fly, and Harper should be in position to capitalize as the team’s leader in total bases against fly-ball pitchers.
The veteran is slashing .292/.373/.615 in the split against fly-ballers, and if he doesn’t go yard here, he should at least go for extra bases once.
Logan O'Hoppe 2+ total bases (+130 at DraftKings)
It’s a marvel Cal Quantrill still has a job in the major leagues. He’s registered a 6.37 ERA this season in nine starts — something everyone should have seen coming after two seasons with an ERA over five runs — but a new wrinkle in his game has been surrendering absolute rockets off the bat.
Quantrill’s issue throughout his career has been allowing a surplus of baserunners, mainly on base hits, but this season he’s wearing a .511 xSLG, which would be the worst of his career.
The righty should serve up plenty of hard-hit balls here to the Los Angeles Angels, and there’s nobody I have more faith in than Logan O’Hoppe.
The backstop has been on an absolute tear over his last seven games, hitting .393 with five homers and a double, and considering strikeouts are his only real nemesis, he’ll be happy to face a pitcher who’s continually operated well under the league average in that department.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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