Jaguars vs Texans Predictions - Early Picks & Odds for Week 10

James Bisson - Head of Content, Betting
James Bisson • Head of Content, Betting 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 4, 2025 , 02:07 PM ET • 4 min read

The Texans lost by a field goal against the Broncos in their last outing, but they'll get right in Week 10 against the Jags.

Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) runs with the ball during the fourth quarter against the San Francisco 49ers at NRG Stadium.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (7) runs with the ball during the fourth quarter against the San Francisco 49ers at NRG Stadium.

The Jacksonville Jaguars look to make it two wins in a row when they visit the Houston Texans in Week 10.

The Jaguars went into Las Vegas and came away with a 30-29 win after the Raiders failed on their two-point try to win the game in overtime. Meanwhile, Houston dropped an 18-15 decision to Denver, falling to 3-5 on the year.

My Jaguars vs. Texans predictions and NFL picks expect Houston to bounce back at home on November 9.

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Jaguars vs Texans predictions

Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.

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Early Jaguars vs Texans spread pick: Texans -1.5

-104 at FanDuel

The Jacksonville Jaguars have fallen off in recent weeks, with two straight losses before the bye. The Jags were lucky to get the win in Las Vegas last week, in game that could have gone either way.

The Houston Texans started the season 0-3 but are 3-2 since, with both losses coming by one score. Houston's defense also just held the Broncos to 18 points, with Denver needing a game-winning field goal to secure the victory.

If Houston can finally put points on the board, its defense should have no trouble slowing down the ever-mediocre Trevor Lawrence.

This game is priced fairly accurately, but I’m inclined to go with the home team here in what is essentially a must-win game for Houston.

Early Jaguars vs Texans total pick: Under 38.5

-110 at FanDuel

These teams combined for just 27 points in their first meeting, and 14 of those came in the fourth quarter. These are two teams that have been struggling to score while also having enough power on defense to stay in the game.

Aside from an absurd fourth-quarter burst, the Jags' game against Vegas was a total snooze fest. Don't let the 30-29 final fool you. Jacksonville has played to an O/U record of 4-4 this season, with two of these three Unders coming in the last three weeks.

Meanwhile, the Texans have gone Over in just two of eight games this season, and I see a similarly low-scoring affair similar to the first matchup this time around.

Jaguars vs Texans odds

  • Jaguars vs. Texans spread: Texans -1.5
  • Jaguars vs. Texans moneyline: Jaguars -102, Texans -116
  • Jaguars vs. Texans Over/Under: 38.5

How to watch Jaguars vs Texans

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James Bisson
Head of Content, Betting

James Bisson is the Editor-in-Chief at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail.

His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles.

A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University), James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.

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