It's a quiet MLB schedule today, being a Thursday getaway day, but our MLB best bets are looking towards some moneylines to carry us through the day.
See why our baseball experts have tabbed the Pirates, Dodgers, and Twins to win as their best MLB picks for today, based on prices from Polymarket.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: PIT ML |
+138 |
 Neil Parker: LAD ML |
-150 |
 Joe Osborne: MIN ML |
-104 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Pirates moneyline
Price: 42¢ (+138) at Polymarket
The Pirates are offering strong Expected Value today, trading at +138 with a fair price closer to +111, per THE BAT. It’s easy to see why: The starting pitching gap isn’t as wide as it looks, with Bubba Chandler trending up after a slow start, while Jacob deGrom lasted just 12 outs last time and is averaging around 85 pitches per start. He is great, but deGrom might be priced in too much, considering a potential 90-pitch leash, and both bullpens rate above league average, and Pittsburgh has nearly a full group available.
Neil Parker's expert pick: Dodgers moneyline
Price: 60¢ (-150) at Polymarket
Don’t sweat the vig. Dodgers righty Tyler Glasnow has held opposing batters to a .182 average while spinning a tidy 3.08 xFIP and dominant 30.8 K% since joining the club in 2024, and the Giants send a middling offense to the dish against righties (.320 wOBA and .121 ISO). The Dodgers also lead the majors in wOBA against righties, and Logan Webb has surrendered a 51.6% hard-hit rate alongside his 5.40 ERA.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Twins moneyline
Price: 51¢ (-104) at Polymarket
The Mets finally broke their losing streak yesterday, but I expect them to start a new one tonight. They’re baseball’s worst offense vs. right-handed pitching and will be in tough against Joe Ryan, who’s off to a rock-solid start and is backed by a Twins bullpen that ranks sixth in FIP over the last two weeks. It’s a completely different story for New York, with Christian Scott coming up from the minors to make his season debut — he has a 5.27 ERA across 13 2/3 IP in AAA. Plus, the Mets' bullpen, which has posted a 6.00 ERA over the last two weeks, should present plenty of scoring opportunities for Minnesota.
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yankees ML | -143 |
| Read analysis in our Yankees vs. Red Sox predictions | |
| Cubs ML | +107 |
| Read analysis in our Phillies vs. Cubs predictions | |
| Tigers -1.5 | +100 |
| Read analysis in our Brewers vs. Tigers predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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