Phillies vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 23, 2026 , 10:40 AM ET • 4 min read

Parker's prediction: Cubbies make it nine in a row with win over floundering Phillies.

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
PHI
42 %
CHC
58 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Chi. Cubs +107 Chi. Cubs +107
Read Analysis
Chicago Cubs MLB Edward Cabrera.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chicago Cubs starting pitcher Edward Cabrera.

The Philadelphia Phillies lost to the Chicago Cubs on April 14, and the Phillies have dropped another seven straight since while the Cubbies haven't lost.

Wrigley Field will play host to their series finale on Thursday, April 23, and my top Phillies vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks are calling for the North Siders to fly the W and hand Philly a ninth consecutive loss.

Who will win Phillies vs Cubs today: Cubs moneyline (+107)

The Philadelphia Phillies have lost eight straight while scoring just 16 total runs.

I’m confident starter Cristopher Sanchez (1.59 ERA and 2.21 xFIP) will pitch well, but the Chicago Cubs are cruising along on an eight-game winning streak while averaging 7.25 runs per game. They also rank second in wOBA against lefties for the year.

Chicago starter Edward Cabrera has been effective with a 2.38 ERA. His 4.32 xFIP and 4.24 xERA highlight he’s overachieving, but as noted, the Philadelphia lineup is scuffling and ranks last in wOBA during the highlighted skid.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Cabrera has limited opposing hitters to a miniscule .282 SLG and .285 wOBA through 22 2/3 innings.

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Phillies vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-139)

While the wind is forecasted to be blowing out to right field on Thursday afternoon, the highlighted struggles of the Philly lineup paired with Sanchez’s dominant 31.7 K% and 59.2% ground-ball rate point me to the Under.

This is also a getaway game, and both the Phillies and Cubs play road games Friday. I don’t expect Sanchez or Cabrera to face the toughest lineups their opponents can send to the dish here.

Neil Parker's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 7-7, +0.51 units
  • Over/Under bets: 4-4, -0.47 units

Phillies vs Cubs odds

  • Moneyline: Phillies -113 | Cubs +108
  • Run line: Phillies -1.5 (+144) | Cubs +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+113) | Under 9.5 (-117)

Phillies vs Cubs trend

The Cubs have won each of their last eight games (+8.40 Units / 82% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Phillies vs. Cubs.

How to watch Phillies vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Thursday, April 23, 2026
First pitch 2:20 p.m. ET
TV NBCS-Philadelphia, Marquee
Phillies starting pitcher Cristopher Sancez
(2-2, 1.59 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Edward Cabrera
(2-0, 2.38 ERA)

Phillies vs Cubs latest injuries

Phillies vs Cubs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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