Dodgers vs Astros Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: May 5, 2026 , 05:34 PM ET • 4 min read

Shohei Ohtani takes the mound for the Dodgers, and Houston will become his latest victim.

MLB

May 05 • 8:10 PM ET
LAD
72 %
HOU
28 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
LA Dodgers -225 LA Dodgers -225
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Shohei Ohtani (17) throws a pitch against the Miami Marlins.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Shohei Ohtani (17) throws a pitch against the Miami Marlins

It’s Shohei Ohtani Day at Daikin Park as the Los Angeles Dodgers face the Houston Astros on May 5. 

My Dodgers vs. Astros predictions and MLB picks expect Los Angeles to come away with the win in what will be a low-scoring affair.

Who will win Dodgers vs Astros today: Dodgers (-225)

Shohei Ohtani is an early leader for the Cy Young, allowing just two earned runs over his first 30 frames. 

He gives the Los Angeles Dodgers a substantial starting pitching edge over the Houston Astros. Although Peter Lambert has been effective (3.52 ERA), he’ll likely regress toward his 6.12 career ERA given his underwhelming stuff (93 Stuff+).

When it gets to the bullpen, Houston has a league-worst 6.22 ERA in relief. The arms are taxed after essentially throwing two consecutive bullpen games, making this a tough spot.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Houston thrives by hitting for average (.284), but it’ll be difficult to string together hits against Ohtani and his .183 xBA. 

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Dodgers vs Astros Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-115)

The Under has hit in four of the five games Ohtani has started, and I’m going to keep riding that trend until it stops reaping profit. 

It works twofold. On the mound, he’s arguably been the sport’s best starting pitcher, suppressing runs at an elite rate. Since Dave Roberts has been removing Ohtani from the lineup on days he starts lately, it deprives the Boys in Blue of their best hitter. 

L.A. has been slumping at the plate lately, averaging 3.2 runs across its last six games. Without Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Tommy Edman in the lineup, this may not be a “blow-up” offensive spot but more of a low-scoring win instead.

JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 9-8, +0.14 units
  • Over/Under bets: 12-6, +5.7 units

Dodgers vs Astros odds

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -220 | Astros +212
  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (-130) | Astros +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: Over  8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115)

Dodgers vs Astros trend

The Dodgers have hit the Under in five of their last seven away games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Astros.

How to watch Dodgers vs Astros and game info

Location Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Date Tuesday, May 5, 2026
First pitch 8:10 p.m. ET
TV TBS
Dodgers starting pitcher Shohei Ohtani
(2-1, 0.60 ERA)
Astros starting pitcher Peter Lambert
(1-2, 3.52 ERA)

Dodgers vs Astros latest injuries

Dodgers vs Astros weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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