MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Wed, Jun 17 • 1:05 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 2.11
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 park in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 park in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Painter in today's matchup.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Jun 17 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Hits
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #3 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Luinder Avila will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Crews in today's matchup.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team playing today.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Jun 17 • 2:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
FirstInning Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo FirstInning o0.5 (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

This is one of my favorite YRFI spots on the board. Giants starter Adrian Houser enters the day as the worst pitcher on Batters-Box and has struggled mightily in the first inning, posting a 9.00 ERA while allowing opponents to slash .302/.409/.698 through 13 starts. Braves right-hander Grant Holmes is not in much better shape, carrying the third-worst pitcher rating and a 4.83 first-inning ERA. With seven strongly rated Braves bats, five highly rated Giants bats, and a combined nine elite-rated hitters in this matchup, there is plenty of firepower to cash a first-inning run.

Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (-103)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Houston Astros logo HOU Wed, Jun 17 • 2:10 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Peter Lambert throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge today.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Jun 17 • 3:10 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dalton Rushing logo
Dalton Rushing u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dalton Rushing is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the same side that Shane McClanahan throws from, Dalton Rushing encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. Today, Dalton Rushing is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.8% rate (86th percentile).
Strikeouts Thrown
Shane McClanahan logo
Shane McClanahan u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
Projection 4.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Shane McClanahan is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least on the slate.. The Los Angeles Dodgers (19.9 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate.. Mark Ripperger profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.. Shane McClanahan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Shane McClanahan's 2202-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 19th percentile out of all starters.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Jun 17 • 3:40 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Trey Mancini logo
Trey Mancini o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Trey Mancini is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Trey Mancini will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.43
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jo Adell will have an edge in today's game.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Jun 17 • 7:05 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+199)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Wed, Jun 17 • 8:05 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Hits
TJ Rumfield logo
TJ Rumfield u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Rumfield in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The #8 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.. T.J. Rumfield pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Wed, Jun 17 • 9:40 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.3
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 102°.
Total RBIs
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 6th-best hitter in baseball.. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 102°.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks

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