The Jets are a slim 2.5-point favorite on Sunday against the 3-1 Browns, with kickoff scheduled for 1 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium.
Cleveland is absolutely flourishing, which has my Browns vs. Jets predictions comfortably backing the visitors in Week 5.
Read on for my NFL picks for Sunday, Oct. 11.
TOP Pick
Browns vs Jets prediction: Browns +2.5
Play up to 55%.
The Cleveland Browns are a 2.5-point road underdog, and I’m happy to take them against a New York Jets offense that still hasn’t shown much consistency. New York ranks 28th in rushing, 22nd in total offense, and 18th through the air while managing just 157 total yards against Chicago last weekend.
That gives Cleveland’s defense a clear opportunity to control the matchup and force the Jets into obvious passing situations. The Browns also have three extra days to prepare after playing Thursday night in Week 4, another advantage against an offense struggling to sustain drives.
Cleveland has now won three straight, and with its defense capable of disrupting a limited New York offense, I like the Browns to stay inside the number and potentially win outright.
COVERS INTEL: The Browns own the NFL’s fifth-highest pressure rate at 41.5%, giving them a clear path to disrupting New York’s passing attack.
Browns vs Jets combo
I firmly believe Cleveland has a legitimate shot at winning its fourth consecutive game, and the game script I'm expecting also sets up nicely for one player prop from each side.
Quinshon Judkins is only averaging three YPC, but he's had a pair of productive games over the last two weeks, surpassing this total in both. The Jets are also horrible against the run, ranking 25th.
Garrett Wilson, meanwhile, remains one of Geno Smith's top weapons. He has 31 targets in four games and 24 total receptions.
Wilson had a tough game in Week 4, but he cashed the Over in catches in his three previous appearances. Cleveland isn't exactly stout downfield, ranking 23rd against the pass.
Browns vs Jets combo
- Browns moneyline
- Quinshon Judkins Over 59.5 rushing yards
- Garrett Wilson Over 5.5 receptions
Browns vs Jets touchdown scorer: Harold Fannin Jr.
Play up to 35%.
Harold Fannin Jr has played an integral part in Cleveland's success. The big-bodied tight end has a team-best three touchdowns, and all three of his red-zone targets have resulted in scores.
He's been a reliable weapon for quarterback Deshaun Watson, posting a 20% target share through the first month. That type of involvement gives Fannin a strong floor, but his usage near the goal line is what really stands out.
The Browns clearly trust him in scoring situations, and his size makes him a difficult matchup for linebackers and defensive backs. With Fannin consistently involved in the passing game and already establishing himself as one of Watson's preferred red-zone options, another score is firmly in play.
- Top picks: 1-4, -2.08 units
- Combos: 0-4, -4.00 units
Browns vs Jets odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Browns +2.5 | Jets -2.5
- Over/Under: Over 39.5 (52%) | Under 39.5 (49%)
- Moneyline: Browns 45% | Jets 56%
For the full slate of NFL matchups, check out our NFL odds board!
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Browns vs Jets weather
This game is expected to be played in a significant rain storm, with sustained winds over 10 mph.
Check out our NFL weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Browns vs Jets trend to know
Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games overall. Find more NFL betting trends for Browns vs. Jets.
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How to watch Browns vs Jets
| Location | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
| Date | Sunday, Oct. 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
Browns vs Jets latest injuries
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