Cubs vs Mets Prediction, MLB Picks & Odds for Today's Game 1

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst 20+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 24, 2026 , 11:24 AM ET • 4 min read

The Cubbies are starting to find their stride, and they'll stay hot in Game 1 of this doubleheader.

MLB

Match starts: 1 hrs
CHC
62 %
NYM
38 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Chi. Cubs -126 Chi. Cubs -126
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Cubs vs Mets Predictions
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pete Crow-Armstrong (4) celebrates with right fielder Matt Shaw

The Chicago Cubs should be well-rested for Wednesday’s doubleheader opener. Two of Chicago’s last three games have been rained out, so it'll be playing for just the second time since Saturday. 

The New York Mets could be without Juan Soto following his early exit last night, and my Cubs vs. Mets predictions are taking advantage of that.

Find out more in my MLB picks for June 24.

Who will win Cubs vs Mets today: Cubs (-126)

The Chicago Cubs have been streaky all season and are on another hot stretch, winning seven of 10 — including Tuesday’s series opener against the New York Mets. The Mets have lost three straight and five of seven.  

New York's bullpen worked more than five innings last night and has a doubleheader today, so starter Nolan McLean needs to go deep. He’s gone past five just twice in his last three starts, and McLean has a 6.75 ERA late in games with a .294 average against.  

The Cubs are favored, but at the upper limit of when I’d take them. If it gets to -130, I’d cut bait.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Batters are hitting 80 points higher against McLean late in games with an OPS increase of 90 points. 

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Cubs vs Mets Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-115)

The Cubs were being coy about their pitchers for the doubleheader, but finally announced Javier Assad will start the opener.

He’s coming off back-to-back strong starts, and the Cubs' pen has pitched four innings since Saturday. Chicago has been hitting, but the last thing a hot team wants is to sit out days.

New York has scored three or fewer runs in five of the last nine games. The offensive boost the Mets hoped to get from Francisco Lindor’s return for the first time since April 22 got muted when Juan Soto left Tuesday’s game with back trouble

Play this down to 8.

Shawn Krest's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 23-28, -2.05 units
  • Over/Under bets: 29-26, +2.04 units

Cubs vs Mets weather

Sunny skies and temps in the mid-80s ensure no weather delay today. The hot weather could add some more pop to balls, but the wind of 10 mph shouldn't play too much of a factor.

Cubs vs Mets odds

  • Moneyline: Cubs -124 | Mets +106
  • Run line: Cubs +1.5 (-290) | Mets -1.5 (+215)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-124) | Under 8.5 (-158)

Cubs vs Mets trend

The Chicago Cubs have hit the game total Under in seven of their last nine away games (+4.85 Units / 50% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Mets.

How to watch Cubs vs Mets and game info

Location Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
Date Wednesday, June 24, 2026
First pitch 7:10 p.m. ET
TV MARQ, SNY
Cubs starting pitcher Javier Assad
(5-1, 3.89 ERA)
Mets starting pitcher Nolan McLean
(4-4, 3.67 ERA)

Cubs vs Mets latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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