Cubs vs Mariners Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Colby Marchio - Contributor at Covers.com
Colby Marchio • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 23, 2026 , 12:37 PM ET • 4 min read

The Cubs' bats have been on fire over their last six games, posting a 119 wRC+, .348 wOBA, and .799 OPS, making them a strong look this afternoon.

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
CHC
67 %
SEA
33 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Chi. Cubs 53.7% Chi. Cubs 53.7%
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Pete Crow-Armstrong Chicago Cubs MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Pete Crow-Armstrong steps up to the plate in a game against the White Sox.

Looking to back the Chicago Cubs at a cheap price? Look no further, as I have you covered with my Cubs vs. Mariners predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, Aug. 23.

After a 5-4 Mariners win on Saturday, the Cubs will be out for blood this afternoon.

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Who will win Cubs vs Mariners today: Cubs moneyline (-116)

Talk about a discount on the Chicago Cubs to secure a win this afternoon against a right-hander who sports an 8.04 ERA and 1.60 WHIP while allowing an 11.5% barrel rate over his last three outings.

On top of that, they draw a lineup that owns a 25% strikeout rate, .676 OPS, 4.3% barrel rate, and 98 wRC+ over its last six games.

Meanwhile, the Seattle Mariners draw Shota Imanaga, who has been shoving over his last five starts, maintaining a 3.18 ERA and 0.99 WHIP while limiting opponents to a 31% hard-hit rate. Chicago's bats, on the other hand, have been on fire over their last six games, posting a 119 wRC+, .348 wOBA, and .799 OPS.

With how bad Bryce Miller and the Mariners' bats have been, getting the Cubs at $1.16 is a steal.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Alex Bregman sports a .333 BA, .704 SLG, 1.104 OPS, and .371 ISO over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitchers. 

Cubs vs Mariners Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-103)

Despite Imanaga pitching at a very high level across his last five starts, there are some concerning underlying metrics. Over his last three starts, opposing hitters have generated nearly a 17% barrel rate against the Cubs southpaw. On top of that, Miller has allowed over an 11.5% barrel rate to opposing hitters. Both pitchers could be in for a rough start.

On top of that, even though the Mariners’ bats have been ice cold, they have been drawing a ton of walks, which could help get ducks on the pond and drive in some runs.

The Cubs will expectedly be the main contributors to taking this thing over, but expect the Mariners to help out a bit, too, with Imanaga’s recent flaws.

Cubs vs Mariners home run prediction: Pete Crow-Armstrong (+325)

Only Alex Bregman and Seiya Suzuki have been hitting the ball better than Cubs superstar Pete Crow-Armstrong over their last 10 games, but PCA has the far better overall matchup against Miller.

The 28-year-old pitcher has been struggling against left-handed hitters lately, owning a 9.95 ERA against his last 60 faced. During that stretch, those lefties against Miller own a .318 xBA, .494 xSLG, and .309 ISO.

The Cubs center fielder enters Sunday as the highest-rated Cub in this matchup, where he covers almost 100% of Miller's pitches. Over his last 10 games, Crow-Armstrong has maintained a .628 SLG, .419 ISO, and 19.4% ground-ball rate while producing a near 10% barrel rate.

He's easily the most likable guy to go yard this evening. Take this down to +300.

Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • 2026 Season: 426-831, -9.7 units
  • Home Run Bets: 108-373, +18.4 units

Cubs vs Mariners weather

This game will be played in a dome. 

Cubs vs Mariners odds

  • Moneyline: Cubs -116 | Mariners +105
  • Run line: Cubs -1.5 (+152) | Mariners +1.5 (-168)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-103) | Under 7.5 (-112)

Cubs vs Mariners trend

The Cubs have covered the run line in 28 of their last 45 games for +16.35 units and a 31% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Mariners.

How to watch Cubs vs Mariners and game info

Location T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Date Sunday, August 23, 2026
First pitch 4:10 p.m. ET
TV MARQ, Mariners.TV
Cubs starting pitcher Shota Imanaga
(8-9, 3.77 ERA)
Mariners starting pitcher Bryce Miller
(4-7, 3.71 ERA)

Cubs vs Mariners latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Colby Marchio
Betting Analyst

Colby Marchio is a two-time DePaul alum and former Division 1 (club) baseball player who has been sports betting since 2019. Since graduating in 2021, he has worked throughout the media circuit, hosting and appearing on various television and radio shows while making countless guest appearances discussing Major League Baseball, college basketball, college football, and the National Football League.

A self-proclaimed numbers nerd, Colby may enjoy digging through the data even more than winning itself. That passion is why his two favorite sports to cover are college basketball and Major League Baseball. 

As for his favorite sportsbook, it is whichever one has the best price, or whichever one is not taxing him as an Illinois resident. 

You can find all of his plays and more @ColbyMBets on Twitter/X.

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