Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 4, 2026 , 10:21 AM ET • 4 min read

Cordell's prediction: Cardinals fly high on the back of their offense.

MLB

Match starts: 9 hrs
MIL
51 %
STL
49 %
Read Analysis
St. Louis Cardinals MLB Jordan Walker
Photo By - Reuters Connect. St. Louis Cardinals right fielder Jordan Walker (18) hits a two-run home run.

The Cardinals are one of the league’s hottest teams, winning six of their past seven games.

My Brewers vs. Cardinals predictions expect the offense to lead them to another victory on Monday night.

Let’s break down my MLB picks for May 4.

Who will win Brewers vs Cardinals today: Cardinals moneyline (+100)

Chad Patrick owns a sparkling 2.47 ERA, but his underlying profile is littered with red flags.

He's posted a 5.52 xFIP, 5.56 SIERA, and a +2.6% K-BB% — the lowest mark among today’s projected starters.

He’s also allowing a 50% fly ball rate, which could be trouble against a St. Louis Cardinals offense that sits sixth in ISO and second in HR/FB vs. right-handed pitching over the past five weeks.

Look for Cardinals' bats to do plenty of damage.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Seven of St. Louis’ projected starters own a wOBA of at least .397 against righties throwing Patrick’s three most-used pitches.

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Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-115)

The Cardinals rank ninth in runs per game and fourth in homers, with the emergence of young bats like JJ Wetherholt and Jordan Walker really lengthening their lineup. 

Patrick’s high fly-ball rate could be a problem, especially on a warm day with the wind blowing out.

The Milwaukee Brewers are also well positioned to produce. Kyle Leahy has conceded multiple runs in all six starts, and 3+ runs in four of six.

He’s giving up damage consistently and has not lasted six innings once. The fourth-ranked Brewers offense should cause him problems.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 11-5, +3.88 units
  • Over/Under bets: 6-10, -5.06 units

Brewers vs Cardinals odds

  • Moneyline: Brewers -115 | Cardinals -105
  • Run line: Brewers -1.5 (+140) | Cardinals +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105)

Brewers vs Cardinals trend

The Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.85 Units / 31% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Cardinals.

How to watch Brewers vs Cardinals and game info

Location Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Date Monday, May 4, 2026
First pitch 7:45 p.m. ET
TV FS1
Brewers starting pitcher Chad Patrick
(2-1, 2.57 ERA)
Cardinals starting pitcher Kyle Leahy
(3-3, 5.52 ERA)

Brewers vs Cardinals latest injuries

Brewers vs Cardinals weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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