MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Mets logo NYM @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Wed, Jun 17 • 12:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Edwin Arroyo logo
Edwin Arroyo o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 52 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edwin Arroyo in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This contest is projected to have the 10th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Edwin Arroyo pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-150)
Projection 2.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 park in the majors for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 6th-shallowest right field fences in the league are found in Great American Ball Park.. This contest is projected to have the 10th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Wed, Jun 17 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 park in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Owen Caissie logo
Owen Caissie o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #10 park in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. Owen Caissie will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Painter today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Jun 17 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for homers.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (-101)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jac Caglianone is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Jun 17 • 2:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
FirstInning Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo FirstInning o0.5 (-126)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

This is one of my favorite YRFI spots on the board. Giants starter Adrian Houser enters the day as the worst pitcher on Batters-Box and has struggled mightily in the first inning, posting a 9.00 ERA while allowing opponents to slash .302/.409/.698 through 13 starts. Braves right-hander Grant Holmes is not in much better shape, carrying the third-worst pitcher rating and a 4.83 first-inning ERA. With seven strongly rated Braves bats, five highly rated Giants bats, and a combined nine elite-rated hitters in this matchup, there is plenty of firepower to cash a first-inning run.

Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (-103)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Houston Astros logo HOU Wed, Jun 17 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+149)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. Kevin McGonigle will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's matchup.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 20th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Jeremy Pena will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Jun 17 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. In the league, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+216)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage today.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, Jun 17 • 3:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jose Siri is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.. Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in the league.. Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-least humidity of all games on the slate at 28%.. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Jose Siri will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the majors.. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #3 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Mike Trout will have an edge today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Wed, Jun 17 • 6:45 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 52 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #4 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's game.. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Total Bases
Masataka Yoshida logo
Masataka Yoshida o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Masataka Yoshida's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The #4 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have the upper hand today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, Jun 17 • 7:05 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+199)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Montgomery in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Wed, Jun 17 • 7:15 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 82°.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Wed, Jun 17 • 8:05 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carson Kelly's BABIP ability is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Kelly is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field ranks as the #22 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.
Total Hits
Miguel Amaya logo
Miguel Amaya u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Miguel Amaya is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Wrigley Field ranks as the #22 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Wed, Jun 17 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 102°.
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 6th-best hitter in baseball.. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #2 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Sutter Health Park is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 102°.
View 10 Picks
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Wed, Jun 17 • 9:40 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in the league.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Pete Alonso has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams in action today.
View 2 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks

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