Toronto is back to .500 and can smell a playoff spot; we're riding with Max Scherzer today as part of our Royals vs. Blue Jays prediction.
The Toronto Blue Jays come into Kansas City as -110 favorites against the Royals, and should be able to have their way with Seth Lugo at Kauffman Stadium (7:10 pm ET).
Let’s dive into my MLB picks for Saturday, Sept. 5.
Blue Jays vs Royals predictions
Blue Jays vs Royals best bet: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline (-110)
The Toronto Blue Jays are winners of five of their last six, with the offense continuing to roll, scoring 26 runs across their last three games.
There's not much in the way of stopping them from continuing that trend today, as Kansas City Royals starter Seth Lugo has struggled mightily this season, owning the highest xBA (.280) and xERA (5.16) of his career.
Don't be surprised if the Blue Jays end up putting up close to nine runs in back-to-back nights.
I'd play this up to -120.
COVERS INTEL: Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino are a combined 3-for-16 against Max Scherzer in their career, giving me plenty of confidence he'll be able to shut down the Royals' bats - they are the second-worst team hitting with RISP in the big leagues.
Blue Jays vs Royals same-game parlay (SGP)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is finding his stroke at the plate at the perfect time for the Blue Jays, logging five hits over his last three games, and while Ernie Clement has had a subpar second half of the season, he did register two hits just yesterday. Against a contact pitcher like Lugo, I'm expecting a ton of balls in play tonight.
Blue Jays vs Royals SGP
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2+ bases
- Ernie Clement 2+ H/R/RBI
- Blue Jays moneyline
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Blue Jays vs Royals home run pick: George Springer (+405)
George Springer has been making some loud contact lately, and should be able to get the barrel on Lugo, who won't overpower anyone. Springer has been extremely hot post-All-Star break, rocking a .856 OPS — let's see him connect with one tonight.
- Best bets: 11-10, +3.26 units
- SGPs: 5-17, +0.62 units
Blue Jays vs Royals odds
- Moneyline: Toronto -110 | Kansas City -110
- Run line: Toronto -1.5 (+145) | Kansas City +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-110) | Under 9.5 (-110)
Blue Jays vs Royals trend
The Over is 6-0-2 in the Royals' last eight games as a home underdog. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Royals.
How to watch Blue Jays vs Royals and game info
| Location | Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
| Date | Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Royals.TV, SN |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Max Scherzer (2-7, 6.16 ERA) |
| Royals starting pitcher | Seth Lugo (6-8, 5.03 ERA) |
Blue Jays vs Royals latest injuries
Blue Jays vs Royals weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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