Blue Jays vs Brewers Picks and Predictions: Manoah Should Bounce Back Against Milwaukee

Toronto opens a series with Milwaukee tonight in interleague play. With Alek Manoah on the mound and the Blue Jays boasting superior bats, we like the Jays as road favorites. Read more in our Blue Jays vs. Brewers betting picks.

Last Updated: Jun 24, 2022 11:26 AM ET Read Time: 4 min

The Toronto Blue Jays and Milwaukee Brewers begin a three-game set at American Family Field on Friday night. Both of these teams have their sights set on the postseason and are coming off victories.

MLB betting lines for this contest hit the board with the Jays installed as -140 road favorites for this interleague clash. Here are our best free Blue Jays vs. Brewers picks and predictions for Friday, June 24, with the opening pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.

Blue Jays vs Brewers odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

Early money has come in on Toronto, shifting the line to as high as -160 at some books although others are still offering -140. As of 11 a.m. ET, the total has stayed steady at 8.5, although slightly juiced towards the Over. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Blue Jays vs Brewers predictions

Picks made on 6/24/2022 at 10:45 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Blue Jays vs Brewers game info

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date: Friday, June 24, 2022
First pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET
TV: Sportsnet, Bally Sports

Blue Jays vs Brewers betting preview

Starting pitchers

Alek Manoah (8-2, 2.00 ERA): The 24-year-old has emerged as Toronto's ace this season, pitching to a 0.94 WHIP with an OBA of .207 across 13 starts. Manoah will be looking to bounce back from his worst start of the season after allowing four runs in 5 1-3 innings against the Yankees last Saturday.

Adrian Houser (4-7, 4.24 ERA): After putting together a career season in 2021, Houser has regressed this year with a mediocre 1.43 WHIP and a .256 OBA in 13 starts. The 29-year-old right-hander is coming off an outing against the Reds where he scattered four hits and three runs through six innings, struggling with his control as he also walked four batters.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Blue Jays: George Springer OF (Questionable), Danny Jansen C (Out), Yimi Garcia RP (Questionable), Trevor Richards RP (Out).
Brewers: Kolten Wong 2B (Out), Trevor Gott RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Over is 22-6 in the Blue Jays' last 28 games overall. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Brewers

Blue Jays vs Brewers picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

The Blue Jays beat the White Sox 9-5 on Wednesday and then enjoyed a day off before heading to Milwaukee for this series. The Jays are fourth in the majors with an OPS of .753 and have been even better lately, boasting an MLB-best OPS of .863 over the last 30 days. In that same time span, the Brewers have an OPS of just .694 and are plating just 4.0 runs per game. 

That's good news for Jays' starter Alek Manoah, who is looking to rebound from his worst start of the season. Manoah gave up six hits and four runs in 5 1-3 innings to the Bronx Bombers last weekend.

In case you're thinking that doesn't sound so bad, you're absolutely right, it's simply a testament to how terrific and consistent Manoah has been this year. Manoah has a sizzling 2.00 ERA in 13 starts this year and the advanced stats suggest that the sophomore should continue to excel. The righty ranks among the top 2% of pitchers in the majors in hard-hit percentage while ranking among the top 10% in barrel percentage, walk rate, and xwOBA.

The Brewers will respond by sending Adrian Houser to the mound for today's clash. Although the Brewers are tied atop the NL Central with a 40-32 mark, Houser hasn't had much to do with their success, pitching to a 4.24 ERA with an almost identical xERA of 4.33 in 68 innings. Houser has a 6.48 ERA in his last three starts and Milwaukee is gone just 2-6 in his previous eight starts. 

Home field might not mean much in this matchup either, with the Brewers going 2-8 in their last 10 games at American Family Field while the Jays are 10-4 in their previous 14 contests on the road. Back the Jays to win.

Prediction: Blue Jays moneyline (-140 at bet365)

Over/Under analysis

The Jays have been making Over bettors extremely rich over the last month, going above the total in 22 of their last 28 games.

With Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Alejandro Kirk leading the way, Toronto is plated a whopping 6.41 runs per game since May 24. They should be able to get to Houser who has had a very tough time making opposing batters miss. 

As great as Manoah has been, Toronto's bullpen is been shaky at times with their relievers ranking 24th in the majors with a collective 4.41 ERA. We're leaning towards the Over here.

Prediction: Over 8.5 (-110 at 888 Sport)

Best bet

It's a bit surprising to see this line so close. Sure, the Brewers are eight games above .500, but the Jays are nine games above that mark in a much more competitive division.

Toronto should have a sizable edge both on the mound and at the plate tonight which makes this an easy play. Take the Jays at a reasonable moneyline price. 

PickBlue Jays moneyline (-140 at bet365)

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