The Detroit Tigers dropped back-to-back low-scoring games to conclude their series with the Yankees.
While the Tigers are -115 favorites on the moneyline, my Astros vs. Tigers predictions and MLB picks see another loss coming their way Thursday night.
Who will win Astros vs Tigers today: Houston Astros (-105)
Tatsuya Imai appears to be turning a corner for the Houston Astros. He's posted an xERA of 3.61 or lower in three of his past four starts while striking batters out at an increased rate.
He had a disastrous performance against the Royals mixed in. Otherwise, Imai allowed seven runs in 23 innings over the last four appearances in which he completed an inning.
The Astros should be able to provide him run support against Troy Melton, whose indicators (4.74 xFIP, 4.84 SIERA) suggest his 2.56 ERA is very unsustainable.
Back the Astros to -115.
COVERS INTEL: Troy Melton has held batters to a .189 average despite a .242 xBA that ranks him in the 48th percentile.
Astros vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Under 9 (-120)
Imai has posted a 2.82 FIP and 32.1 strikeout rate over the past 30 days while holding opponents to three runs or fewer in four of five starts.
His play has improved significantly, and that should continue against a Detroit Tigers offense that sits 22nd in OBP vs. righties while striking out at the eighth-highest rate.
While I expect the Astros to cause problems for Melton, the Tigers have a good bullpen behind him — and it's well rested after using only two relievers last night.
I see value on the Under and would play it to -130.
- ML/RL bets: 40-31, +0.20 units
- Over/Under bets: 37-30-4, +3.39 units
Astros vs Tigers weather
The temperature is expected to hover around 70 with northwest winds blowing 10-15 miles per hour. Small boost for the bats.
Astros vs Tigers odds
- Moneyline: Astros -105 | Tigers -115
- Run line: Astros -1.5 (+155) | Tigers +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under: Over 9.0 (-105) | Under 9.0 (-115)
Astros vs Tigers trend
The Astros have cashed the moneyline in 11 of the last 17 road games for +6.5 units and a 37% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Astros vs. Tigers.
How to watch Astros vs Tigers and game info
| Location | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Thursday, June 25, 2026 |
| First pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | SCHN, DSN |
| Astros starting pitcher | Tatsuya Imai (4-3, 6.15 ERA) |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Troy Melton (4-0, 2.56 ERA) |
Astros vs Tigers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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