Quote Originally Posted by Da_BetWhiz: Ok, yesterday, was the day I was fearing would come, with 0-5 in the Premier League.I've decreased the number of plays from five to three to lower the risk. The shitty thing about soccer betting is that there are days (usually Sat and Sun) when there are easily 10 big public fav games to be found, and other days (midweek days, and summer months) when is difficult to find even 3 big public fav games. I was thinking here just about fading moneyline bets, but maybe if including all the Total bets, and all other types of bets each day is almost impossible not to find 3 big fav games to fade...
how is that shitty? everything is relative. action and publicity definitely adds weight to lines but EOD it's the same math everyday of the week. Thats all this shit is, math and tendencies. certain spots allow for intangibles like motivation but sports IQ has less to do with this than anything.
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Quote Originally Posted by jersey_dude:
Quote Originally Posted by Da_BetWhiz: Ok, yesterday, was the day I was fearing would come, with 0-5 in the Premier League.I've decreased the number of plays from five to three to lower the risk. The shitty thing about soccer betting is that there are days (usually Sat and Sun) when there are easily 10 big public fav games to be found, and other days (midweek days, and summer months) when is difficult to find even 3 big public fav games. I was thinking here just about fading moneyline bets, but maybe if including all the Total bets, and all other types of bets each day is almost impossible not to find 3 big fav games to fade...
how is that shitty? everything is relative. action and publicity definitely adds weight to lines but EOD it's the same math everyday of the week. Thats all this shit is, math and tendencies. certain spots allow for intangibles like motivation but sports IQ has less to do with this than anything.
Quote Originally Posted by Da_BetWhiz: Ok, yesterday, was the day I was fearing would come, with 0-5 in the Premier League.I've decreased the number of plays from five to three to lower the risk. The shitty thing about soccer betting is that there are days (usually Sat and Sun) when there are easily 10 big public fav games to be found, and other days (midweek days, and summer months) when is difficult to find even 3 big public fav games. I was thinking here just about fading moneyline bets, but maybe if including all the Total bets, and all other types of bets each day is almost impossible not to find 3 big fav games to fade...
This system, or what it should be called, has actually performed best during midweek, and it makes sense.
There is a higher chance of an over performing "mid" teams will drop points compared to juggernauts like Barcelona, Arsenal, Real Madrid etc, that are playing each Saturday/Sunday.
Just focusing on mid-week or smaller league's is an option in the future.
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Quote Originally Posted by jersey_dude:
Quote Originally Posted by Da_BetWhiz: Ok, yesterday, was the day I was fearing would come, with 0-5 in the Premier League.I've decreased the number of plays from five to three to lower the risk. The shitty thing about soccer betting is that there are days (usually Sat and Sun) when there are easily 10 big public fav games to be found, and other days (midweek days, and summer months) when is difficult to find even 3 big public fav games. I was thinking here just about fading moneyline bets, but maybe if including all the Total bets, and all other types of bets each day is almost impossible not to find 3 big fav games to fade...
This system, or what it should be called, has actually performed best during midweek, and it makes sense.
There is a higher chance of an over performing "mid" teams will drop points compared to juggernauts like Barcelona, Arsenal, Real Madrid etc, that are playing each Saturday/Sunday.
Just focusing on mid-week or smaller league's is an option in the future.
Personal Play Today: (Not enough games for system play)
Playing Mallorca DNB @ 1.88 Risking 2.28 units to win 2.28 units
Mallorca has turned their stadium into a graveyard for visitors, losing only twice in their last ten outings there. Sevilla travels to the island completely hollowed out in key sectors, missing the defensive stability and midfield grit provided by Alexis, Marcao, Gudelj, and Januzaj and they have have won only one of their last seven away games and have conceded in nine consecutive matches on the road. Fading a shorthanded away team against a disciplined home defense is the fundamental play here.
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Personal Play Today: (Not enough games for system play)
Playing Mallorca DNB @ 1.88 Risking 2.28 units to win 2.28 units
Mallorca has turned their stadium into a graveyard for visitors, losing only twice in their last ten outings there. Sevilla travels to the island completely hollowed out in key sectors, missing the defensive stability and midfield grit provided by Alexis, Marcao, Gudelj, and Januzaj and they have have won only one of their last seven away games and have conceded in nine consecutive matches on the road. Fading a shorthanded away team against a disciplined home defense is the fundamental play here.
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