CD Newsletter Week 11

@ABooksNightmare

C'mon, it was funnier when I thought you were playing both sides of the total!

But, er, got it. Never heard of that system prior to now (or simply don't read as much as I should; probably the latter). Good luck on your play! 

Btw, how is that system faring at this point?

@ABooksNightmare

 Pats should score 30+ just need garbage time points from jets

@iConsciousness

 Lac/jax o43.5?? Herbert and Lawrence should be able to move the ball

Thought line should be 45-46 imo

@iConsciousness

No, it was funny because it made me look gifted and like I was looking for a win no mater what....but the under play is just a tracking play, however I have sided with it on several occasions but tonight is the first time going against as an official play..... 

record is posted....thursday under is currently 5-5

Last year it was more towards the over than under at years end, but the system was solid in years past, but seems to be evening out

I question this part of the statement 

As for Herbert, he'll get his as long as his paper thin o line can hold up, but that's a big "if"

@undermysac

 Ya neither pass rush scares me...both teams injured to fuck..can see both teams getting to 20 tho...jags got 29 on stingy texans D and herbert can usually move the ball

Both d lines soort a 40% pass rush win rate. Top 3rd in the league. Although the Jags o line is really good at pass blocking, and the Chargers suck.

The Jags are injured at wr really bad.

I agree with the total, but I'm not the best totals player. 

Top 5 QB's so far by epa+cpoe composite. 

1. Darnold 261 passes

2. Maye 432

3. Goff 309

4. Love 340

5. Lamar 207

Maye has 1 more game than anyone under his belt, but still throwing more often.

Love's #'s maybe deceiving as he is ultra safe, never pushes the ball down field or into tight windows.

Maye and Lamar are the only 2 of the 5 that present a threat with their legs.

Goff still under rated by most.

The Vikings didn't need Darnold apparently, they have JJ

Love is a joke and you are absolutely correct that he doesn't really push the ball downfield. He and the Pack have been exposed the past few games as it looks like they are not who we thought they were.....and yes, Dennis Green is sitting right here with me eating only the top of his muffin

Good Write ups D 

Anyone else think the Bengals could win outright?

+200

@undermysac

 Looks like the old hotstove threads from a few years ago with these names of posters, or is this all that is left. 

Windy in Pitt today......

@bigred84

 20 mph winds in New York today as well.  Line has dropped to 41.5 in GB/NYG game.

There isn’t any on/off switch for offense in the NFL.  GB blows at this moment and the Giants have Winston in as a backup.

Under 41.5 makes perfect sense.

What's up gentlemen and our one lady

Here is what I am on today:

Green Bay -7

Buffalo -6

Minnesota -2.5

San Francisco -3.5

Panthers/Falcons over 41.5

Buccaneers/Bills over 45.5

Good luck punters

Phins coach is an idiot.....

He is idiot. Not sure why he's still coaching. He's gonna get away with it but that's what you get with 3-7 teams.

Meanwhile, bacon is still good

I like the Chargers TT over.

I think the Jags offense may have a tough time putting up points, so full game under.

Chargers have scored at least 24 points in their last 5 games, against a mixed bag of defenses.

The Chargers aren't hurting on that side of the ball (definitely). And getting Da'Shawn Hand back last week has really helped their defense out. And they're already one of the better pass defenses in the league.

I like the Chargers spread to, to no surprise of anyone. 

Oh, lastly, don't forget what happened to the Chargers when they last played in Jacksonville. It was 3 years ago during the WC playoff game, when the Chargers were winning 27-7 going into half time and then losing 31-30.

There's still some vets on that team that played in that game (Herbert, a couple of linemen, Mack, Derwin, Keenan to name a few).

Chargers are going to exorcise those demons today.

And, yes, I realize this info would've been better shared with you all at least a day ahead. lol

I've never seen so many ticky tack calls go against the Chargers outside of a Chiefs game. Way too much home cooking happening in Duval. 

Fixed.