It would be logical to pick Carolina in this situation -1/2, but this system is somewhat of a contrarian system. You would pick the other side. I think the question is which is more likely to occur, TB to cover the +1/2 or Carolina to cover by 13, to get within +1 for game.
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It would be logical to pick Carolina in this situation -1/2, but this system is somewhat of a contrarian system. You would pick the other side. I think the question is which is more likely to occur, TB to cover the +1/2 or Carolina to cover by 13, to get within +1 for game.
I have Indy at PK... But the play wpuld still be Indy PK, over/under 17. WOW, someone is hammering these sides. I think the big bettors are on to Porky's system LOL
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I have Indy at PK... But the play wpuld still be Indy PK, over/under 17. WOW, someone is hammering these sides. I think the big bettors are on to Porky's system LOL
curt: You're correct, it seems a little odd on games with big blow-out halves like that, but the system is to miss the middle. If Carolina scores 1 more point than Tampa Bay, the middle hits. If TB outscores Carolina by 1 point, the middle misses.
Final card for early games:
Oak/NO 2H under 22.5
Det/Minn 2H under 20
Chi/Atl 2H under 20.5
Tampa Bay +0.5 2H
Indy +2.5 2H
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curt: You're correct, it seems a little odd on games with big blow-out halves like that, but the system is to miss the middle. If Carolina scores 1 more point than Tampa Bay, the middle hits. If TB outscores Carolina by 1 point, the middle misses.
It would be logical to pick Carolina in this situation -1/2, but this system is somewhat of a contrarian system. You would pick the other side. I think the question is which is more likely to occur, TB to cover the +1/2 or Carolina to cover by 13, to get within +1 for game.
That's it exactly.
The system would say to choose the side that will make missing the middle the easiest, but if you look at it and think its more likely to miss the middle the other way, then you make the bet in the opposite direction.
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Quote Originally Posted by usakangy:
It would be logical to pick Carolina in this situation -1/2, but this system is somewhat of a contrarian system. You would pick the other side. I think the question is which is more likely to occur, TB to cover the +1/2 or Carolina to cover by 13, to get within +1 for game.
That's it exactly.
The system would say to choose the side that will make missing the middle the easiest, but if you look at it and think its more likely to miss the middle the other way, then you make the bet in the opposite direction.
I have to wonder those about the NFl and the large spread, That is a 21 point middle in the NFL. While it is easier for Indy to tie in the 2H, it may be just as likely that Indy starts to sit out the first stringers late into the 4th, thus allowing Baltimore to cover. We shall see.
Iron dog... I want to use a subset of this data. I would like to use only games where there is more than a touchdown pointspread for 2H lines and using no 10 point middle and see where this goes. This is a trial
The lines I want to watch are:
STL / WAS and DET / MIN
St. Louis @ Washington - Line Wash -12/44 Half Score: STL 10-7 2H Line: Wash -7/21 Middle: 8 spread, 6 total Play: St. Louis +7
Detroit @ Minnesota - Line Minn. -13/44.5 Half Score: Det. 3-2 2H Line: Minn -7/20 Middle: 5 spread, 19 total Play: Detroit +7
These plays will NOT be added to the day's results.....
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I have to wonder those about the NFl and the large spread, That is a 21 point middle in the NFL. While it is easier for Indy to tie in the 2H, it may be just as likely that Indy starts to sit out the first stringers late into the 4th, thus allowing Baltimore to cover. We shall see.
Iron dog... I want to use a subset of this data. I would like to use only games where there is more than a touchdown pointspread for 2H lines and using no 10 point middle and see where this goes. This is a trial
The lines I want to watch are:
STL / WAS and DET / MIN
St. Louis @ Washington - Line Wash -12/44 Half Score: STL 10-7 2H Line: Wash -7/21 Middle: 8 spread, 6 total Play: St. Louis +7
Detroit @ Minnesota - Line Minn. -13/44.5 Half Score: Det. 3-2 2H Line: Minn -7/20 Middle: 5 spread, 19 total Play: Detroit +7
These plays will NOT be added to the day's results.....
Does anybody have the record from yesturday in college cause I was not around to follow. And if possible I would like to know the record for spread and totals seperately. If im not mistaken overall the record is better for spreads than totals.
Thanks
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Does anybody have the record from yesturday in college cause I was not around to follow. And if possible I would like to know the record for spread and totals seperately. If im not mistaken overall the record is better for spreads than totals.
Sides and Totals have been pretty close on the CFB side, but totals would be doing much better, I think, if you only took plays with a 15 point or more middle.
This week was a bad week for the system. These are NJPorky's numbers from yesterday:
System YTD Is 36 - 24 - 2 Units: + 9.6
Win 60%
Sides YTD 19-14-1 Units: +3.6 Win 58%
Totals YTD 17-10-1 Units: +6.0 Win 63%
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Sides and Totals have been pretty close on the CFB side, but totals would be doing much better, I think, if you only took plays with a 15 point or more middle.
This week was a bad week for the system. These are NJPorky's numbers from yesterday:
LOL That's it baby! HEHEHEHEHE! Go Indy!
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