Public Indicator Calculations 2023

@HooAlum

The recverse movement and line movement went away in South Alabama - Eastern Michigan so that result has pulled back and even flipped to EMU for 1 unit.

@HooAlum

 Coastal edging ahead for a small play due to the line movement going back down, likewise lopsided wagering went away for eh Utes but unfortuinteoy they are still the play down to Northwestern due to low ticket and handle favorite.

@HooAlum

 Here is a comprehensive bowl update.  I will update more on tomorrow's games probably again.

BOWL RECORD: 8-7

BOWL REVENUE: 28.5 units on 33 wagered (loss of 4.5 units)

SEASON RECORD: 124-100 (55.35%)

SEASON REVENUE: 724.8 units on 647 wagered (12.01% profit)

GAMES

Bowling Green (3 units): line Movement, sharp action non P5 vs P5

Rice (1 unit): line movement and sharp action outweighs low handle favroite

UNLV (1 unit): non P5 vs P5, double digit underdog outweighs low ticket favorite and sharp action

Virginia Tech (5 units): line movement, steam, sharp action and SKS out weighs non P5 vs P5 and double digit underdog

West Virginia (2 units): line movement and sharp action outweighs lopsided wagering

Louisville (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp action

Texas A&M (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite, SKS outweighs line movement and sharp action

Boston College (8 units): early start for western team, bowl snub, lopsided wagering, over/under squeeze, double digit and sharp action

Miami (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering outweighs sharp action

Kansas State (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, SKS outweighs sharp action and line movement

Arizona (3 units): SKS, bowl snub, sharp action outweighs lopsided wagering

Clemson (1 unit): low ticket and handle;e favorite outweighs sharp action

Notre Dame (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp action

Memphis (1 unit): lopsided wagering, P5 vs non P5 outweighs line movement

Ohio St (2 units): steam, low ticket and handle favorite outweighs bowl snub

Penn St (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs sharp action

Auburn (3 units) steam, line movement, outweighs lopsided wagering

Georgia (1 unit): line movement, SKS, and bowl snub outweighs lopsided wagering and over/under squeeze

Toledo-Wyoming (NO Bet): lopsided wagering balanced by sharp action

Wisconsin-LSU (NO Bet): No indicators

Tennessee (4 units): low ticket and handle;e favorite and SKS outweighs sharp action

Liberty (4 units): lopsided wagering, sharp action , non P5 vs P5 and double digit underdog outweighs low handle favorite

Michigan (5 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Texas (5 units): SKS, low ticket and handle favorite

@HooAlum

Morning Update.  Some mild changes

Bowling Green (2 units): line Movement, sharp action non P5 vs P5 outweighs low handle Favorite

PICK CHANGE: Texas St (1 unit)  Low ticket and handle favorite outweighs line movement and sharp action

UNLV (2 unit): non P5 vs P5, double digit underdog outweighs low ticket favorite

@HooAlum

Public betting has come in on Bowling Green swinging the game back to neutral and no bet as the line has fluctuated up and down around 1.5-2.5.

@HooAlum

 I have a feeling the books are loving the late public  action on Bowling Green.   Remember Minn started as a 6pt / over-200 ML Favorite. The public has bet this down to Minn -2  ML -125 with only 30% of the money .  Lightbulbs!!! 

Minn is the value side and  Ill be riding MINN ML -125 / -2 today

@HooAlum

 Line is dropping constantly on UNLV-Kansas leading to a nice 3 unit play on the Rebels.  Might want to grab while you can before it gets to a touchdown.  Double digit spread is already long gone

@HooAlum

 We have had a subpar start but the fun really starts tomorrow as all 4 games have ,multiple units on them at present.  Oklahoma St's jumping the fence has dramatically changed that game as a note.

Virginia Tech (5 units): line movement, steam, sharp action and SKS out weighs non P5 vs P5 and double digit underdog

West Virginia (2 units): line movement and sharp action outweighs lopsided wagering

Louisville (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp action

PICK CHANGE: Oklahoma St (4 units): line movement, steam and sharp action outweighs lopsided wagering

All 4 Favorites......

@HooAlum

Update before games start

Virginia Tech (5 units): line movement, steam, sharp action and SKS out weighs non P5 vs P5 and double digit underdog

West Virginia (3 units): line movement and sharp action

Louisville (1 unit): low ticket favorite

Oklahoma St (5 units): line movement, steam and sharp action

GL today my friend 

@HooAlum

Late surge in the spread toward the Trojans means a big swing to them with line movement and steam with the low ticket for Louisville going away thus now a 4 unit Southern Cal play getting points as much as 5 in some places.

@HooAlum

Time for a periodic Bowl update. 

Boston College (7 units): early start for western team, bowl snub, lopsided wagering, over/under squeeze, double digit outweighs non P5 vs P5

Rutgers (4 units): Line movement, steam and sharp action outweighs lopsided wagering

Kansas State (2 units): low ticket and handle favorite, SKS outweighs sharp action and line movement

Arizona (2 units): SKS, bowl snub outweighs lopsided wagering

Kentucky-Clemson (No Bet): low ticket and handle favorite balanced by line movement and sharp action

Notre Dame (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp action

Memphis (2 unit): lopsided wagering, P5 vs non P5and double digit underdog outweighs line movement and sharp action

Ohio St (1 unit): steam, low ticket and handle favorite outweighs bowl snub and sharp action

Ole miss-Penn St (No bet): low handle favorite balanced sharp action

Auburn (5 units) steam, line movement

Georgia (1 unit): line movement, steam, SKS, and bowl snub outweighs lopsided wagering, over/under squeeze and double digit underdog

Toledo-Wyoming (NO Bet): lopsided wagering balanced by sharp action

Wisconsin-LSU (NO Bet): No indicators

Tennessee (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite and SKS outweighs sharp action

Liberty (4 units): reverse movement, non P5 vs P5 and double digit underdog outweighs low handle favorite

Michigan (5 units): low ticket and handle favorite, lopsided wagering

Texas (3 units): SKS, low ticket favorite

@HooAlum

 After a very profitable day that put the overall bowl season back in the black the idea is to keep it rolling with 3-4 more decent sized plays todays.  Picks remain the same for today right now but some of the numbers have adjusted a little

Boston College (6 units): early start for western team, bowl snub, lopsided wagering, over/under squeeze, double digit outweighs non P5 vs P5 and line movement

Rutgers (5 units): Line movement, steam and sharp action outweighs lopsided wagering

Kansas State (5 units): low ticket and handle favorite, SKS and lopsided wagering outweighs sharp action and line movement

Arizona (2 units): SKS, bowl snub outweighs lopsided wagering

Hoo , SMU only one time zone away and they have been in Boston all week. ... But I do like BC too. 

@HooAlum

 Rutgers moves up to 6 units as lopsided wagering goes away but it os off the board at a lot of places. FanDuel still has it at (-2.5)

I know little about both of these teams.

From a fresh perspective, I see Rutgers running game as their strength and Miami's run defense as one of theirs.

The line seems to favor Rutgers despite Miami being no slouch on offense as well.

I am on Rutgers as well because I think they can run it late but I have my concerns.

@HooAlum

 Last game result no matter for your great day!

Good Fortune the rest of the bowls.

@HooAlum

 Second good day in a row.  Here is the nightly update with 3 more big big bowl days to go.  Hope to have more like the last 2 

BOWL RECORD: 16-8

SEASON RECORD: 132-101 (56.65%)

BOWL REVENUE: 93.1 units on 73 units wagered

SEASON REVENUE: 789.4 units on 687 wagered (14.91% profit)

Clemson (1 unit): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs by line movement and sharp action

Notre Dame (2 units): low ticket favorite and sharp action

Memphis (2 unit):P5 vs non P5 and double digit underdog outweighs line movement 

Ohio St (4 units): steam, low ticket and handle favorite outweighs bowl snub and sharp action

Ole miss-Penn St (No bet): low handle favorite balanced sharp action

Auburn (8 units) steam, line movement, low ticket and handle favroite

Georgia (5 units): line movement, steam, SKS, and bowl snub outweighs lopsided wagering, over/under squeeze and double digit underdog

Toledo-Wyoming (NO Bet): lopsided wagering balanced by sharp action

Wisconsin-LSU (NO Bet): No indicators

Tennessee (4 units): low ticket and handle favorite and SKS outweighs line movement

Liberty (4 units): reverse movement, non P5 vs P5 and double digit underdog outweighs low handle favorite

Michigan (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite

Texas (4 units): SKS, low ticket favorite and sharp action

@HooAlum

@HooAlum

 Morning Update.  Not nearly as eventful as the last few days but it closes strong tonight

Clemson (1 unit): low ticket and handle favorite outweighs by line movement and sharp action

Notre Dame (3 units): low ticket and handle favorite

PICK CHANGE: Iowa St (1 unit): low ticket favorite, line movement, and sharp action outweighs  P5 vs non P5 and double digit underdog

Ohio St (4 units): steam, low ticket and handle favorite outweighs bowl snub and sharp action

Great info...thanks for sharing. You smoked 'em yesterday!

RT2

HooAlum Good work all around and BOL

Just wondering about Notre Dame b/c it looks to me like the low ticket/handle applies to Oregon St and the public's backing Notre Damn as it often does.... No? 

@HooAlum

OK, Iowa St got a surge of tickets so that has gone away and as a result it is now Memphis 2 units.

On Notre Dame I had my weighted average still below 50% (scores and odds pushed it low as a note while VSIN was indeed higher through the DK info)

Don't know if it will hold but damn! Clemson might get me over the line for 9 straight (do not deserve it as Kentucky is the better bet and team today) and the Irish may get me 10 as we type but it is VERY early I that one.