Posted:
#151
NC State needs a bell ringer like that guy @ Texas Tech, I think??
Hilarious video! 
****NCAAF THURS-SAT 9-16-10/9-18-10 Sides/totals/Halfs NCAAF****
Posted:
#152
Quote Originally Posted by investments4you:
Alright fellas,, Man there are so many different angles on this game to look at,, From how good the kickers are , to how good the qb should be,, neither has proven much yet, but both have qb ratings over 120,, and the running game,, wow,, everyone is concerned about cincy running back, but NC state is pretty good at RB as well,, What I am worried about is sacks,, whoever gets to the QB more is going to have the advantage tonight,, i liked Cincy all day,, until about two hours ago when I disected this a little more,, Im not going to lay the points here simply becaue both teams have pretty decent kickers, and its the 3rd game now so they should be spot on,, Not a good spot to kill your book,, but for some action,,
Alright fellas,, Man there are so many different angles on this game to look at,, From how good the kickers are , to how good the qb should be,, neither has proven much yet, but both have qb ratings over 120,, and the running game,, wow,, everyone is concerned about cincy running back, but NC state is pretty good at RB as well,, What I am worried about is sacks,, whoever gets to the QB more is going to have the advantage tonight,, i liked Cincy all day,, until about two hours ago when I disected this a little more,, Im not going to lay the points here simply becaue both teams have pretty decent kickers, and its the 3rd game now so they should be spot on,, Not a good spot to kill your book,, but for some action,,
NC STATE ML - 120 2 UNITS 
2010-2011 Sports Plays
NCAAF: ( 22 - 13 - 0 ) + 17.3 Units (x8 at $100/unit)
SIDES: ( 14 - 6 - 0 ) + 15.6 units
1st half :( 1-2-0) -..1 unit
2nd half:(6-4-0) + 1.8 units
SIDES: ( 14 - 6 - 0 ) + 15.6 units
1st half :( 1-2-0) -..1 unit
2nd half:(6-4-0) + 1.8 units
NFL: ( 5 - 6 - 1) -.8 units
2010 MLB Season
2010 MLB Season
MLB: ( 146-149) -15.30 units
Season 2009-2010 FINAL RECORD:
NCAAB: ( 281-245-1) + 28.3units
NBA: ( 1214-1025-19) + 182.5 units
NFL: ( 159- 130- 4 ) + 76.8 units
NCAAF: ( 189 - 126 - 11) + 124.2 units
OVERALL: ( 1840 -1520-35) + 411.8U X (unit=$800)
Playoffs Breakdown:
Monday Night Football: ( 15-0) : Superbowl: ( 2-0 )
NFL Playoffs Sides ( 10 - 1 )
All NFL Playoffs Plays: ( 20 - 6 )
NBA Playoffs Sides : ( 37-30-2)
NBA Championship: ( 13-6) + 16.9unit X 8 = 135.2 units
Posted:
#160
Okay I probably don't have 5 posts on here cuz I spend most of the time at other forums as well, but I gotta say 3 things.
1. Invest-I just want to say thanks for everything you do here and post your opinions to help all of us make some money 
2. I'm not sure how much merit this has, but I swear most of the time when I see a team open up as a dog and they end up as the favorite they always win.
3. One thing I heard from someone who is very very respected in the NFL arena on another forum, is that at least in the NFL over the last 16 years, the points matter only about 17% of the time. This means If a favorite wins, they will also usually cover the spread 83% of times. If a dog covers the spread, they will also usually win SU 83% of times. NOTE: This is for NFL and I'm not sure exactly how accurate it would be for NCAAF. Maybe just use spreads <10 cuz there are some crazy point spreads in NCAAF.
Anyways, thanks Invest for an early winner for this week 
I'll try to come on here more often.
Had a g8 day after monday night disaster for me.
Posted:
#164
daneault23-
To your second point, I am not sure how accurate this is, but there is a guy who come on 1560 the game in Houston and is a professional handicapper. Anyways, he claims that when the line crosses the zero, the new favorite wins 70% of the time. Again, I don't know how accurate that is, but I often times play new favorites based on that fact, and do fairly well.
Posted:
#166
Well the over is not gonna hit 2nd half,, But he 4th quarter is,, as ugly as it was,, it seems to almost never fail, if a dog has not covered a quarter the entire game,, and the team that is winning by large margin is favored the 4th quarter in progress quarters, then make a play on the underdog that is losing,, Sure enough,, it somehow happened, 
Posted:
#175
Quote Originally Posted by Numero_Uno:
daneault23-
To your second point, I am not sure how accurate this is, but there is a guy who come on 1560 the game in Houston and is a professional handicapper. Anyways, he claims that when the line crosses the zero, the new favorite wins 70% of the time. Again, I don't know how accurate that is, but I often times play new favorites based on that fact, and do fairly well.
Yeah I swear everytime I see this, I just see it as interesting and then I find out the new favorite wins a very high percentage. Maybe something to look out for for future reference 
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