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    All Forums | College Football

    BOWL GUIDE 2016-17

    «First Previous 111213 ... 121314 Next Last»
    daneblazer
    bookieassassin
    brettcards
    alopez14325
    Michfan15
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 53940
    Posts: 328
    «First Previous 111213 ... 121314 Next Last»
     
    daneblazer
    daneblazer
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 4:21 PM ET #251

    Re: winner usually covers...

    That stat isn't much different than the regular season.  Bowls usually have smaller spreads.  Larger the spread the more common it is for a team to win and not cover. This year it seems like there are more double digit spreads than usual.   Don't see too many games like La Tech where the spread is like -4 and they win by 3


    Reply
    Re: winner usually covers...

    That stat isn't much different than the regular season.  Bowls usually have smaller spreads.  Larger the spread the more common it is for a team to win and not cover. This year it seems like there are more double digit spreads than usual.   Don't see too many games like La Tech where the spread is like -4 and they win by 3


     
    bookieassassin
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 4:30 PM ET #252

    Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:



    Flowers.....might be good enough to screw everything up....but the real problem is the SCaro O.....#117......but they're doing fine vs that UGLY USF D  (#100)....think it'll be OK

    After originally thinking Auburn.....strongly leaning Sooners....hoping somebody talks me out of it............


    AND.....meant to add.....as long as they don't turn it over.....
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:



    Flowers.....might be good enough to screw everything up....but the real problem is the SCaro O.....#117......but they're doing fine vs that UGLY USF D  (#100)....think it'll be OK

    After originally thinking Auburn.....strongly leaning Sooners....hoping somebody talks me out of it............


    AND.....meant to add.....as long as they don't turn it over.....
     
    daneblazer
    daneblazer
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 4:36 PM ET #253

    Backdoor still alive, even after all that.  

    I think they Have to hold USF to 46 or less though 
    Reply
    Backdoor still alive, even after all that.  

    I think they Have to hold USF to 46 or less though 
     
    bookieassassin
    bookieassassin
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 4:37 PM ET #254

    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer:

    Re: winner usually covers...

    That stat isn't much different than the regular season.  Bowls usually have smaller spreads.  Larger the spread the more common it is for a team to win and not cover. This year it seems like there are more double digit spreads than usual.   Don't see too many games like La Tech where the spread is like -4 and they win by 3




    betcha it ain't 90% over the last 6 years.....
    *or 85% over the last 35 years or so
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer:

    Re: winner usually covers...

    That stat isn't much different than the regular season.  Bowls usually have smaller spreads.  Larger the spread the more common it is for a team to win and not cover. This year it seems like there are more double digit spreads than usual.   Don't see too many games like La Tech where the spread is like -4 and they win by 3




    betcha it ain't 90% over the last 6 years.....
    *or 85% over the last 35 years or so
     
    brettcards
    brettcards
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 5:26 PM ET #255

    Great run ... Lets do this Arkansas 1H 
    Reply
    Great run ... Lets do this Arkansas 1H 
     
    bookieassassin
    bookieassassin
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 5:52 PM ET #256

    Quote Originally Posted by brettcards:

    Great run ... Lets do this Arkansas 1H 


    man don't even suggest you're tailing my clueless azz.............

    Hog D.....might set up a nice play on the Hokies 2H....and / or OVER......OR Hokies TT
      *busy so might not be able to post....but that's what I'll do............
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by brettcards:

    Great run ... Lets do this Arkansas 1H 


    man don't even suggest you're tailing my clueless azz.............

    Hog D.....might set up a nice play on the Hokies 2H....and / or OVER......OR Hokies TT
      *busy so might not be able to post....but that's what I'll do............
     
    alopez14325
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 6:09 PM ET #257

    two weeks ago my favorite bets were over 67 La Tech/Navy, and over Arkansas/VTech- for some reason I thought this game was being played in a dome... this wind is messing up with my plan
    Reply
    two weeks ago my favorite bets were over 67 La Tech/Navy, and over Arkansas/VTech- for some reason I thought this game was being played in a dome... this wind is messing up with my plan
     
    alopez14325
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 6:11 PM ET #258

    I have been doing excellent with player props, I have drew morgan over 51 yards -125 and Drew Morgan over 4.5 rec -125.  I still think he can get it, but didnt realize it was a wind storm
    Reply
    I have been doing excellent with player props, I have drew morgan over 51 yards -125 and Drew Morgan over 4.5 rec -125.  I still think he can get it, but didnt realize it was a wind storm
     
    bookieassassin
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 6:17 PM ET #259

    Quote Originally Posted by Jerseyboy89:


    Have you seen Sooners defense this year?  all injured, starting true freshman, and are swiss cheese.  auburn will put up points.


    I've been running thru the game plan with both stOOPS bros......
      *and our plan is to not even try to stop 'em....just outscore 'em

    Which is eggzactly my thinking..........
      *check out the O's seen by Auburn.....anything even close?

    The O's Auburn faced / ranked (S&P of course)
    11 (loss)   109   27   24 (loss)   111   33   40   20   90   93   16 (loss)......>   #1  OU


    Along with a bit......of the dreaded DUE THEORY
    * seems like THIS team.....just has some unfinished business....off back to back bowl embarrassments.....with a HUGE QB edge + incredible threats at RB / WR

    *Auburn?.....already a much better year than many thought.....will be ready you bet.....but the Sooners to me are the team with the 'EDGE'....in this game

    BUT......I already kinda sorta hate the play....trusting Stoooops / B12 team vs a tough SEC team.....that will RUN all day probably....but as a continuance of my 2016 bowl idiocy......I'm gonna do  it anyway.............
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Jerseyboy89:


    Have you seen Sooners defense this year?  all injured, starting true freshman, and are swiss cheese.  auburn will put up points.


    I've been running thru the game plan with both stOOPS bros......
      *and our plan is to not even try to stop 'em....just outscore 'em

    Which is eggzactly my thinking..........
      *check out the O's seen by Auburn.....anything even close?

    The O's Auburn faced / ranked (S&P of course)
    11 (loss)   109   27   24 (loss)   111   33   40   20   90   93   16 (loss)......>   #1  OU


    Along with a bit......of the dreaded DUE THEORY
    * seems like THIS team.....just has some unfinished business....off back to back bowl embarrassments.....with a HUGE QB edge + incredible threats at RB / WR

    *Auburn?.....already a much better year than many thought.....will be ready you bet.....but the Sooners to me are the team with the 'EDGE'....in this game

    BUT......I already kinda sorta hate the play....trusting Stoooops / B12 team vs a tough SEC team.....that will RUN all day probably....but as a continuance of my 2016 bowl idiocy......I'm gonna do  it anyway.............
     
    bookieassassin
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 6:26 PM ET #260

    Quote Originally Posted by alopez14325:

    two weeks ago my favorite bets were over 67 La Tech/Navy, and over Arkansas/VTech- for some reason I thought this game was being played in a dome... this wind is messing up with my plan


    yep the damm wind changes this one considerably....
      $  my Hokies / OVER leans....is now a POOF!.....a Hog / under thing...............maybe

    BOTH....need to throw.......the Hog running game / short passing attack gives them an edge here looks like...........
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by alopez14325:

    two weeks ago my favorite bets were over 67 La Tech/Navy, and over Arkansas/VTech- for some reason I thought this game was being played in a dome... this wind is messing up with my plan


    yep the damm wind changes this one considerably....
      $  my Hokies / OVER leans....is now a POOF!.....a Hog / under thing...............maybe

    BOTH....need to throw.......the Hog running game / short passing attack gives them an edge here looks like...........
     
    Michfan15
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 6:34 PM ET #261

    Hokies TT down to 24.5...may wait until 24 or 23.5 then pull trig
    Reply
    Hokies TT down to 24.5...may wait until 24 or 23.5 then pull trig
     
    alopez14325
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 6:37 PM ET #262

    sry man didnt see you had the under in south carolina USF game, I wouldnt have come in here saying how that was one of my plays of the day
    Reply
    sry man didnt see you had the under in south carolina USF game, I wouldnt have come in here saying how that was one of my plays of the day
     
    LB_Dirtbags
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 6:51 PM ET #263

    Bookie- What's your take on the Cowboys? I just see Colorado being much more  prepared against this offensive style with playing against similar schemes in their conference. 
    Reply
    Bookie- What's your take on the Cowboys? I just see Colorado being much more  prepared against this offensive style with playing against similar schemes in their conference. 
     
    Michfan15
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 7:01 PM ET #264

    Just unloaded on VT TT o 20.5....they'll come back enough
    Reply
    Just unloaded on VT TT o 20.5....they'll come back enough
     
    bookieassassin
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 7:11 PM ET #265

    S&P  1H / 2H stuff....
       *1st is offense......2nd defense

                      Ark                          VT
    1Q         3/102                       101/6
     
     2Q        14/87                        50/29

    3Q         103/70                      36/23

    4Q          40/110                     32/25


    Scoring......offense 1st

                       Ark                       VT
    1H          19 / 15                   16.5 / 11.5

    2H          8.5 / 17                  18.5 / 12
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    S&P  1H / 2H stuff....
       *1st is offense......2nd defense

                      Ark                          VT
    1Q         3/102                       101/6
     
     2Q        14/87                        50/29

    3Q         103/70                      36/23

    4Q          40/110                     32/25


    Scoring......offense 1st

                       Ark                       VT
    1H          19 / 15                   16.5 / 11.5

    2H          8.5 / 17                  18.5 / 12
     
    bookieassassin
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 7:52 PM ET #266

    smart thing ?......stay away probably
      * I have NO IDEA what's gonna happen 2H
    but.....just for action's sake.......

    I'll take VT -2' 3Q.....very small......at 5Dimes
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    smart thing ?......stay away probably
      * I have NO IDEA what's gonna happen 2H
    but.....just for action's sake.......

    I'll take VT -2' 3Q.....very small......at 5Dimes
     
    bookieassassin
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 8:16 PM ET #267

    Quote Originally Posted by LB_Dirtbags:

    Bookie- What's your take on the Cowboys? I just see Colorado being much more  prepared against this offensive style with playing against similar schemes in their conference. 



    Cinderella's season ENDED 12/2.......vs Washington
      * DC Leavitt now gone


    Seems like it's gonna be very tough to re-group and play ONE more game to me.....could be wrong.....don't feel strongly about it

    Okie St.....plays well every other bowl......killed by Ole Miss LY
      *will have a NICE home field edge / Gundy under huge pressure to close this year out with a W......seems like they outscore the Buffs here

    BOTTOM LINE?...Buffs have NOTHING to prove > OSU plenty....
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LB_Dirtbags:

    Bookie- What's your take on the Cowboys? I just see Colorado being much more  prepared against this offensive style with playing against similar schemes in their conference. 



    Cinderella's season ENDED 12/2.......vs Washington
      * DC Leavitt now gone


    Seems like it's gonna be very tough to re-group and play ONE more game to me.....could be wrong.....don't feel strongly about it

    Okie St.....plays well every other bowl......killed by Ole Miss LY
      *will have a NICE home field edge / Gundy under huge pressure to close this year out with a W......seems like they outscore the Buffs here

    BOTTOM LINE?...Buffs have NOTHING to prove > OSU plenty....
     
    bookieassassin
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 8:35 PM ET #268

    Quote Originally Posted by Michfan15:

    Just unloaded on VT TT o 20.5....they'll come back enough



    nice work....................

    didn't have the balls myself.......the STRONG bowl trend of the team gettin' their azz kicked.....NOT coming back > made me nervous ha
      *I thought they might......but also saw the Hogs running it about 40X 2H.....playing keep a way 
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Michfan15:

    Just unloaded on VT TT o 20.5....they'll come back enough



    nice work....................

    didn't have the balls myself.......the STRONG bowl trend of the team gettin' their azz kicked.....NOT coming back > made me nervous ha
      *I thought they might......but also saw the Hogs running it about 40X 2H.....playing keep a way 
     
    Michfan15
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 8:38 PM ET #269

    Thx amigo. would love to cash the +390 ml tossed in as well.  

    We smashing over in okst/colo?  Like ok st as well.  Rudolph and Washington have to redeemm themselves for their debacle vs Ole miss in ly bowl...BOL
    Reply
    Thx amigo. would love to cash the +390 ml tossed in as well.  

    We smashing over in okst/colo?  Like ok st as well.  Rudolph and Washington have to redeemm themselves for their debacle vs Ole miss in ly bowl...BOL
     
    billywaddy
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 8:45 PM ET #270

    Thanks ba for your thread. 
    Reply
    Thanks ba for your thread. 
     
    bookieassassin
    bookieassassin
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jun, 2007
    Posts: 10314
    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 9:30 PM ET #271

    Quote Originally Posted by billywaddy:

    Thanks ba for your thread. 


    good man BW.........BOL .....................
      * you were a hellluva RB in early 70's......Boling TX seems like
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by billywaddy:

    Thanks ba for your thread. 


    good man BW.........BOL .....................
      * you were a hellluva RB in early 70's......Boling TX seems like
     
    bookieassassin
    bookieassassin
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    Posts: 10314
    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 9:34 PM ET #272

    Quote Originally Posted by Michfan15:

    Thx amigo. would love to cash the +390 ml tossed in as well.  

    We smashing over in okst/colo?  Like ok st as well.  Rudolph and Washington have to redeemm themselves for their debacle vs Ole miss in ly bowl...BOL



    not sure about the total......definitely check it out halftime............
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Michfan15:

    Thx amigo. would love to cash the +390 ml tossed in as well.  

    We smashing over in okst/colo?  Like ok st as well.  Rudolph and Washington have to redeemm themselves for their debacle vs Ole miss in ly bowl...BOL



    not sure about the total......definitely check it out halftime............
     
    bookieassassin
    bookieassassin
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    Joined: Jun, 2007
    Posts: 10314
    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 9:35 PM ET #273

    HOLY CRAP!......after seeing Gundy's hair.....rethinking my position on OSU..............
    It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
    Reply
    HOLY CRAP!......after seeing Gundy's hair.....rethinking my position on OSU..............
     
    Eddy_Winslow
    Eddy_Winslow
    All-Star
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    Joined: Jan, 2008
    Posts: 14469
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2016 - 12:21 AM ET #274

    Nice to see things turning around for you, only a matter of time.
    buy $BTC
    Reply
    Nice to see things turning around for you, only a matter of time.
     
     
    alopez14325
    alopez14325
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2015
    Posts: 1182
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2016 - 2:27 AM ET #275

    I took a beating on the Vtech game... I had Arkansas TT O 26, but a small $50 bet on Vtech -6.5 before the game started.  during the game I took a few large plays on Arkansas +4,5 and +7.5  and lost my prop bet on completions by 1... If Drew Morgan doesnt fumble through the end zone, I wouldve won at least $400.... ah well, I still broke even on the day, but I shouldve been up a lot.  I was 11-1 between the other two games.   
    Reply
    I took a beating on the Vtech game... I had Arkansas TT O 26, but a small $50 bet on Vtech -6.5 before the game started.  during the game I took a few large plays on Arkansas +4,5 and +7.5  and lost my prop bet on completions by 1... If Drew Morgan doesnt fumble through the end zone, I wouldve won at least $400.... ah well, I still broke even on the day, but I shouldve been up a lot.  I was 11-1 between the other two games.   
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