The Dallas Wings forced a decisive Game 3 at Chase Center tonight after surviving an overtime thriller against the Golden State Valkyries on Wednesday.
With a trip to the semifinals on the line, my Wings vs. Valkyries predictions back Gabby Williams to stay hot against Dallas.
My WNBA picks also break down how to attack the spread, with Golden State laying 6.5 points on Friday, Oct. 2.
TOP PICK
Wings vs Valkyries prediction: Gabby Williams Over 19.5 points
Gabby Williams erupted for a team-high 36 points in Wednesday’s loss, but I’m not chasing points here, and I’ll trade this one to 60%.
In the regular season, Williams averaged 21.8 ppg across four matchups with the Wings, her second-highest scoring average against any opponent. She posted 19 points in her regular-season tilt at Dallas, and scored 20+ in all three home matchups against the Wings.
Williams averaged 16.3 ppg at home vs. 13.7 on the road this season. She scored 20+ points only six times in 39 tries, but half of those were vs. Dallas.
Returning home to close out the series, I expect Williams to cross the 20-point threshold against Dallas once again as Golden State advances to the semis.
COVERS INTEL: In this postseason, Williams ranks in the Top 3 in FGA (19.5), points (28) and made 3-pointers (3.5). She’s one of three players averaging 25+ points with 50/40/90 shooting splits.
Wings vs Valkyries combo
The spread is set at Valkyries -6.5, but I’ll trade it up to 9.5.
The Wings have been torched in the postseason, giving up 102 points and 15 triples on 47.6% shooting from beyond the arc, all easily the highest marks in the W.
Dallas made this series interesting with a home victory, but it took a historic 45-point effort from Arike Ogunbowale to get the dub in OT.
The Valkyries have had their way with the Wings offensively, hitting the Over in six of the last seven H2H matchups while scoring 90+ five times. The point total for this one has risen from 154.5 in Game 1 to 159.5 in Game 3, and I’ll trade it up to 162.5.
A comfortable Golden State victory can still hit the Over, as the V’s have won by 9+ in four of their last Overs.
Wings vs Valkyries combo
- Gabby Williams Over 19.5 points
- Valkyries -6.5
- Over 159.5
Want more basketball combos? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
Wings vs Valkyries player prop: Gabby Williams Over 1.5 3-pointers
Williams knocked down a career-best 1.7 triples on a career-best 34.2% shooting from beyond the arc. She finished with multiple triples in 21 of 39 regular-season games and in both of her playoff contests. Williams has reached that mark in six of her last seven games overall.
Dallas’ perimeter defense gave up 36.2% 3-point shooting on the road, good for third-highest mark in the W. Including the postseason, Williams knocked in 2+ three-pointers in all five matchups with the Wings this season.
I’ll trade this one up to 65%.
- Top picks: 38-43, -9.90 units
- Combos: 9-72, -25.03 units
Wings vs Valkyries odds
- Spread: Wings +6.5 | Valkyries -6.5
- Moneyline: Wings 26% | Valkyries 76%
- Over/Under: Over 159.5 | Under 159.5
Wings vs Valkyries trend
The Valkyries are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home favorite. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Wings vs Valkyries
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Friday, Oct. 2, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Wings vs Valkyries latest injuries
Wings: Alanna Smith (Out), Awak Kuier (Probable).
Valkyries: None.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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