The Toronto Tempo are the best Over team in the W (16-8) because they have the league's worst defense. Toronto is one of only two teams in the bottom four in both effective field-goal percentage allowed (53.2%) and rim rate allowed (38.9%). That spells trouble against a Minnesota Lynx offense that has two of the best offensive players in the league. Olivia Miles is ninth in the league in assist rate (30.5%), and Napheesa Collier is finally healthy after dropping 24 points in her first game back, a year after averaging 22.9 PPG.

I’m locking in Natisha Hiedeman to power the Storm's offense especially with Dominique Malonga nursing a back injury. She’s topped this prop line in six of her last 10 games — clearing it comfortably three times — and the juice is still real. 

Beyond that, the Seattle Storm know how to stay within striking distance. Despite a tough record, they have kept six of their last 10 within single digits, including a wild 110–107 shootout against Indiana last time out.

Count on Seattle to fight and cover again.

Los Angeles' 112.3 defensive rating and league-worst paint defense leaking oil (42.5 PITP) will give Breanna Stewart another opportunity to score at least 22 points for the sixth time in eight games. The Sparks' aggressive help defense collapses inward, which will leave WNBA All-Star MVP Jonquel Jones open at the top of the key where she’s drilled 2+ triples in three of her last five games.