With high-volume scoring and lethal perimeter matchups driving tonight's three-game WNBA slate, Kelsey Plum, Allisha Gray, and Paige Bueckers take center stage as the marquee targets in the prop market.
From Plum’s immediate offensive spark in Phoenix to Gray’s efficient multi-level scoring for Atlanta and Bueckers’ all-around usage with Dallas at risk with no-nonsense defense visiting, tonight's board offers elite value on three of the league’s most dynamic playmakers.
Get the full scoop as our experts break down the top WNBA picks and player props for Friday, Aug. 7.
WNBA player props today
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Kelsey Plum |
Over 17.5 points | Check back for probability. |
 Allisha Gray |
Over 18.5 points | 70% |
 Paige Bueckers |
Under 18.5 points | 74% |
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Mercury vs. Sun prop: Kelsey Plum Over 17.5 points
Probability: (Currently unavailable)
If Kelsey Plum had been healthy all year, she'd rank third in the WNBA in scoring at 23.3 ppg.
While her numbers might slide a bit on the Phoenix Mercury, where she'll have to share the scoring load with Kahleah Copper (21.0 ppg), her production should still be well above the 17.5-point total set for her tonight.
Plum has scored 19.5 ppg in her first two appearances for the Mercury. The Connecticut Sun aren't a strong defensive team either — their 108.4 defensive rating is sixth-worst in the league — and Plum should get enough shots to hit the Over on this low total.
Check out Ed Scimia's full Mercury vs. Sun predictions.
Prop Confidence Rating: 🟢 The Sun surrender 87.3 points per game (ranking among the bottom five in the WNBA) and allowing opponents to shoot a porous 46.4% from the field.
(Confidence legend: 🟢 = high, 🟡 = medium, ⚪ = low)
Dream vs. Mystics prop: Allisha Gray Over 18.5 points
Allisha Gray is coming off a 20-point effort in her last outing against Phoenix. The WNBA’s ninth-leading scorer, Gray has scored at least 19 points in seven of her last 10 outings.
Averaging 18.8 points on the season, the Atlanta Dream’s go-to scorer thrives in fast-paced contests where she can attack downhill, draw contact, and convert from beyond the arc — boasting multiple 25-plus point outbursts over her past six games.
Facing a Washington Mystics defense that struggles to contain high-volume, multi-level perimeter scorers, Gray’s guaranteed 30-plus minutes and high usage give her every opportunity to clear 18.5 points.
Check out Eric Rosales' full Dream vs. Mystics predictions.
Prop Confidence Rating: 🟢 The Dream's offense has been operating at an elite level, averaging 95.2 points per game over their last six games while clearing 90 points in four of those contests. They also lead the entire WNBA in free throws made per game (19.3).
Valkyries vs. Wings prop: Paige Bueckers Under 18.5 points
Paige Bueckers’ scoring has taken a downward turn over her last four games, as she’s averaged just 15.5 points in that span and scored 19+ only once.
She won’t find much breathing room tonight against a Golden State Valkyries team that’s allowed the fewest points, fewest FTA and lowest FG% to opposing guards.
Bueckers finished with only 15 points in her last matchup with the Valkyries, and she’s reached 19+ in only two of five career matchup with Golden State.
I’ll play this one down another point to 17.5.
Check out Zak Hanshew's full Valkyries vs. Wings predictions.
Prop Confidence Rating: 🟢 The Golden State Valkyries' standout defensive stat is their league-best 101.0 defensive rating, establishing them as the WNBA's premier defensive unit while holding opponents to a suffocating 41.9% field-goal percentage.
How to bet WNBA player props today
Player props allow WNBA bettors to wager on a player’s total points, assists, rebounds, 3-pointers made, and a number of individual statistics like combo markets.
Just like standard Over/Under odds, prediction markets like Kalshi will set a projected total number for those stats, and bettors can predict whether the player or team will have Over or Under that total.
What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is a federally regulated platform for trading event outcomes on prediction markets. Traders can buy and sell simple, transparent contracts that settle based on the outcome of real-world events. Markets revolve around a yes/no proposition, with prices adjusting dynamically based on traders’ perceived probability that the event will occur. When the event concludes, if you are correct, the contract “honors” at a predetermined price; if you are incorrect, it expires at $0.
WNBA Player Props FAQ
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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