Two elite defensive units clash at American Airlines Center tonight as the Golden State Valkyries and Dallas Wings meet for the second time this season.
With both teams relying on lockdown defense to dictate the tempo, my Valkyries vs. Wings predictions target a low-scoring grind in Dallas.
Read on for my full WNBA picks, including a +675 Same-Game Parlay anchored by two combo props and why I’m backing the Under on Paige Bueckers’ scoring line this Friday, Aug. 7.
- UPDATE: Added Paige Bueckers prop!
Valkyries vs Wings prediction
Valkyries vs Wings best bet: Under 161.5 (-110)
The Golden State Valkyries have allowed the fewest points per game to opponents at a paltry 77.1, and the Dallas Wings have allowed the fourth-fewest at 85.5.
At home, the Wings have surrendered just 79.2 points with a league-best 98.8 defensive rating. On the road, the Valkyries have allowed the fewest points at just 77.8.
Dallas is 4-10 to the Under at home, and Golden State is 5-8 to the Under on the road. The Wings have gone Under 161.5 in three of their last four. Play down to 160.5.
COVERS INTEL: Dallas has hit the Under at a higher percentage than any other team, reaching that mark in 54.8% of games. At 15-15, Golden State is one of only four teams hitting the Under in at least 50% of its games.
Valkyries vs Wings same-game parlay
Across her last five, Veronica Burton has averaged 24.6 PRA and hit the Over four times. She’s reached that mark in two of her last three on the road and posted 24 against the Wings.
In a low-scoring slugfest, I expect her to do the dirty work on the glass while getting teammates involved. Play to 24.5.
Jessica Shepard has recorded a double-double in 20 of 31 games, including one against Golden State. Elite defense should force plenty of misses from both teams, leading to increased rebound opportunities.
This -160 prop is a nice addition to the parlay.
Valkyries vs Wings SGP
- Under 161.5
- Veronica Burton Over 21.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Jessica Shepard to record a double-double
Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
Valkyries vs Wings player prop pick
Paige Bueckers Under 18.5 points (-110)
Paige Bueckers’ scoring has taken a downward turn over her last four games, as she’s averaged just 15.5 points in that span and scored 19+ only once.
She won’t find much breathing room tonight against a Valkyries team that’s allowed the fewest points, fewest FTA and lowest FG% to opposing guards.
Bueckers finished with only 15 points in her last matchup with the Valkyries, and she’s reached 19+ in only two of five career matchup with Golden State.
I’ll play this one down another point to 17.5.
- Best bet: 23-24, -2.75 units
- SGP: 7-40, -4.00 units
- Player prop: 10-11, -2.52 units
Valkyries vs Wings odds
- Spread: Golden State +1.5 | Dallas -1.5
- Moneyline: Golden State -105 | Dallas -115
- Over/Under: Over 161.5 | Under 161.5
Valkyries vs Wings trend
The Valkyries have won four straight against the Wings. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Valkyries vs Wings
| Location | College Park Center, Arlington, TX |
| Date | Friday, August 7, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ION |
Valkyries vs Wings latest injuries
Valkyries: Iliana Rupert (pregnant) ruled out.
Wings: Alysha Clark (back) ruled as day-to-day.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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