2025 WNBA MVP Odds: Collier Running Away with MVP Race

Napheesa Collier starting to create to separation in race for WNBA MVP as she continues to lead the Lynx with the league's best record.

Aisha Quiñones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Aisha Quiñones • Betting Analyst
Jul 30, 2025 • 16:12 ET • 4 min read
Napheesa Collier Minnesota Lynx WNBA
Photo By - Imagn. Minnesota Lynx forward Napheesa Collier (24) celebrates a basket.

The 2025 WNBA season is in full swing and it's time to check out how the MVP race is unfolding as inch closer to the playoffs.

Napheesa Collier is making it known that she's coming for Most Valuable Player and more. She leads the leagues in scoring, secured the MVP honors in the All-Star game, and the dominant force behind the Minnesota Lynx boasting the best record so far this season.

Let's take a look at the WNBA odds market with storylines already shaping the MVP picture.  

2025 WNBA MVP odds

Player BetMGM FanDuel bet365
Lynx Napheesa Collier -1000 -1050 -900
Mercury Alyssa Thomas +700 +750 +700
Aces A'ja Wilson +5000 +3700 +3300
Liberty Breanna Stewart +2500 +11000 +15000
Fever Caitlin Clark +12500 +10000 +15000
Liberty Sabrina Ionescu +25000 +25000 +25000

Odds as of 7-30-2025.

Favorite to win the 2025 WNBA MVP award

Napheesa Collier (-1050)

Here's come Collier! Napheesa has ignited the 2025 WNBA season with a dominant arrival, leading the league in scoring with an average of 23.5 points per game. Her exceptional play has propelled the Minnesota Lynx to an exceptional 22-5, underscoring her status as a top MVP contender.

After the Lynx were bounced by the New York Liberty in the 2024 WNBA Finals, Collier has came back with a vengeance. And it's quite clear that she is putting the league on notice in a mission to get her team back where they deserve which is in the Finals. Don't sleep on Collier as she uses the motivation of last season to build her case for Most Valuable Player.

Caitlin Clark (+10000)

Year 2 of the Caitlin Clark experience had a promising future and while there's plenty of the season left, it's has been hindered by back-to-back injuries.

Clark's highly anticipated and publicized rookie season started shaky but she and the Indiana Fever rounded into form. She won WNBA Rookie of the Year and finished fourth in MVP voting after averaging 19.2 points, 5.7 rebounds, 8.4 assists, and 1.3 steals in 35.4 minutes across 40 games.

With expectations of her getting sharper and even more confident in her sophomore campaign, glimpses of that were seen but unfortunately haven't been given a chance to go full force.

A'ja Wilson (+3300)

A'ja Wilson was named 2024 WNBA MVP in unanimous fashion. But what have you done for me lately? Joking aside, Wilson was positioned as the front-runner once again to win the award in 2025, which would be her fourth. That would break her tie with Lisa Leslie, Sheryl Swoopes, and Lauren Jackson for most MVP wins in WNBA history.

Wilson has been clockwork, but she also hasn't won back-to-back trophies despite winning three of the last five. She will face stiff competition in the race with Collier and Thomas making way.

Despite the Las Vegas Aces having a somber season, Wilson remains in beast mode. The three-time MVP sits right behind Collier in leading the league in scoring and has become an enforcer on defense with an average of 9.1 rebounds and 2.4 blocks per game.

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Understanding WNBA MVP odds

Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above.  If a player becomes a very strong favorite, their odds will be listed with a minus (-) sign ahead of the number. 

  • A'ja Wilson -110

The (-) means that Wilson is an odds-on favorite, and a bettor needs to wager $110 to win $100. Other contenders in the MVP race have plus (+) odds to win.

  • Breanna Stewart +300

Here, a bettor stands to profit $300 for a $100 wager on Stewart if she wins the award. 

If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.


WNBA MVP odds trends

Here are some trends you'll want to keep in mind when betting on WNBA MVP odds:

  • WNBA MVP has historically been a big woman's award. Diana Taurasi (2009) is the only pure guard to win since Cynthia Cooper (1997, '98).

  • Repeat winners are quite common, with eight players having won two or more MVP trophies in the award's 27-year history.

  • Seeding had been of increasing importance recently, with six of the previous seven MVP winners having being from the league's No. 1 overall seed. However, Wilson's unanimous 2024 win came from the 4-seed.

WNBA MVP history

A quick look at the last 10 WNBA MVPs, their position, and the team they played for. Stewart's 2023 win joins A'ja Wilson and Elena Delle Donne as repeat winners this decade. 

Year Player Team Position
2024 A'ja Wilson AcesLas Vegas Center
2023 Breanna Stewart LibertyNew York Forward
2022 A'ja Wilson AcesLas Vegas Center
2021 Jonquel Jones SunConnecticut Forward
2020 A'ja Wilson AcesLas Vegas Center
2019 Elena Delle Donne MysticsWashington Forward
2018 Breanna Stewart StormSeattle Forward
2017 Sylvia Fowles LynxMinnesota Center
2016 Nneka Ogwumike SparksLos Angeles Forward
2015 Elena Delle Donne SkyChicago Forward

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WNBA MVP odds FAQ

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Aisha Quiñones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Hailing from Harlem, New York, Aisha Quiñones joined Covers in 2024 after an illustrious career with several other major media outlets. A proud Johnnie, after graduating from the Big East basketball powerhouse St. John's University, Quiñones earned her bachelor's degree in sport management and journalism, then obtained her master's degree in media studies from The New School.

Over a span of 12+ years, Quiñones has built her portfolio as a writer, dipped her toe into on-camera work, and also been behind the scenes in producing sports content.

Despite being a New Yorker, Quiñones has always been a lifelong Los Angeles Lakers fan thanks to her mom's joy of watching Kobe Bryant play — so much of a fan to the point that Quiñones named her toy poodle after the late-great legend.

Her hometown roots stay true to her MLB and WNBA choice in teams, as a Yankees and Liberty fan, due to her uncle and grandmother's love for the sports throughout her childhood.

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