The Connecticut Sun host Angel Reese and the Atlanta Dream as double-digit underdogs, aiming to build a rare winning streak.
Defense should dictate the tempo on both sides, making the Under the premier pick for tonight's Dream vs. Sun predictions.
Let's take a closer look at my free WNBA picks for Thursday, Aug. 13.
- UPDATE: Added Angel Reese prop!
Dream vs Sun prediction
Dream vs Sun best bet: Under 174.5 (-112)
The Connecticut Sun have been the weakest offensive team in the league this season, and with Brittney Griner listed as questionable tonight, they may have even fewer contributors than usual. The Sun average a league-low 79.7 points per game, rank last in the WNBA in offensive rating, and are the league's worst 3-point shooting team (29.7%).
Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream aren't a great offensive team either, averaging 0.93 points per play (12th in the WNBA).
And with Connecticut solid on defense — the Sun give up only 86.8 ppg — points will be hard to come by. I like the Under at 172.5 or higher.
COVERS INTEL: The Sun are dead last in effective field goal percentage (47.5%), while the Dream rank 13th at 49.5%. The lack of efficient scoring will keep the total down tonight.
Dream vs Sun same-game parlay
With the Under in play tonight, it'll be hard for Atlanta to win by too many points, which has me skeptical of the 10.5-point spread.
The Dream are just 11-21 ATS this season and are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a double-digit favorite. I'm taking the Sun to cover this big number.
I'll also back Allisha Gray to eclipse 1.5 threes. Gray's shooting from deep has been a bit down at 30.2% this year, but she's still averaging 1.6 makes from beyond the arc. The Sun have allowed opponents to shoot 35.1% from three this season, and Gray gets more than enough volume to hit this modest total.
Dream vs Sun SGP
- Under 174.5
- Sun +10.5
- Allisha Gray Over 1.5 threes
Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
Dream vs Sun player prop pick
Angel Reese Over 12.5 rebounds (-111)
The Sun don't stack up to the Dream, who rank second in the WNBA with a 53.8% rebounding rate. And if Griner isn't fully healthy, they'll struggle to compete on the glass. I like Reese to hit her rebounding Over tonight.
- Best bet: 19-25, -7.43 units
- SGP: 6-38, -3.97 units
- Player prop: 18-6, +10.85 units
Dream vs Sun odds
- Spread: Dream -10.5 (-105) | Sun +10.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Dream -500 | Sun +380
- Over/Under: Over 174.5 (-108) | Under 174.5 (-112)
Dream vs Sun trend
Atlanta and Connecticut have gone Under the total in each of their last 10 meetings. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Dream vs Sun
| Location | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT |
| Date | Thursday, Aug. 13, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peachtree TV, NBC Sports Boston |
Dream vs Sun latest injuries
Dream: Indya Nivar G (Out), Te-Hina Paopao G (Out).
Sun: Brittney Griner C (Questionable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
